NORWAY ELITESERIEN
29.05.2026 17:00
Brann Stadion
Referee: S. Sletner
Brann
Match Timeline
Sarpsborg 08 FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
R. Holten · Assist: J. Soltvedt
Brann
41'
V. E. Halvorsen · Assist: S. Sorli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45'
S. Sorli · Assist: C. Niyukuri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
46'
V. E. Halvorsen ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
57'
Joachim Soltvedt
Brann
🟨
58'
Sander Christiansen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
59'
K. Eriksen ↔ N. Holm
Brann
🔄
60'
U. Mathisen ↔ B. Finne
Brann
🔄
60'
J. Thorsteinsson ↔ M. Haaland
Brann
🟨
63'
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Brann
🔄
72'
J. Soltvedt ↔ J. Torsvik
Brann
🔄
76'
C. Niyukuri ↔ M. Odegaard
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
80'
S. Sorli ↔ M. Svenningsen Gronn
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
85'
R. Holten ↔ M. Hellan
Brann
🔄
88'
N. Williams ↔ N. Skuseth
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
88'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
90+3'
Magnar Odegaard
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 80.5%
Draw 0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 19.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann1.88
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
33 GF / 24 GA
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WLDWL
32 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
13
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
5
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 15 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 20 matches
Brann Statistic Sarpsborg 08 FF
5 Wins 10
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
33 Goals For 32
24 Goals Against 28
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
13 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 4.3
13.27 Total Shots 11.6
6.64 Corners 4.9
56.6% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Brann's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarpsborg 08 FF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brann expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control.

Brann Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Brann have collected 13 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, while the 22:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kristall Máni Ingason (4 goals), N. Holm (4 goals), B. Finne (3 goals), with creative support from U. Mathisen (3 assists), B. Finne (2 assists), K. Eriksen (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

With 8 points from 9 games and a place of 13, Sarpsborg 08 FF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Karlsbakk (2 goals), V. E. Halvorsen (2 goals), A. Nibe (1 goals), with creative support from V. E. Halvorsen (1 assists), C. Niyukuri (1 assists), S. Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 4 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Brann's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Brann 9, Sarpsborg 08 FF 6
H2H summary: Brann wins 4, draws 6, Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8
Brann Home
20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen