NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Brann Stadion
Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway
Brann
Match Timeline
Sarpsborg 08 FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
R. Holten · Assist: J. Soltvedt
Brann
41'
V. E. Halvorsen · Assist: S. Sorli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45'
S. Sorli · Assist: C. Niyukuri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
46'
V. E. Halvorsen ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
57'
Joachim Soltvedt
Brann
🟨
58'
Sander Christiansen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
59'
K. Eriksen ↔ N. Holm
Brann
🔄
60'
U. Mathisen ↔ B. Finne
Brann
🔄
60'
J. Thorsteinsson ↔ M. Haaland
Brann
🟨
63'
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Brann
🔄
72'
J. Soltvedt ↔ J. Torsvik
Brann
🔄
76'
C. Niyukuri ↔ M. Odegaard
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
80'
S. Sorli ↔ M. Svenningsen Gronn
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
85'
R. Holten ↔ M. Hellan
Brann
🔄
88'
N. Williams ↔ N. Skuseth
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
88'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
90+3'
Magnar Odegaard
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.74
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds 2.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.5%
1.74
BTTS BTTS No
26%
2.50
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
2.76
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-0
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 80.5%
Draw 0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 19.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann1.88
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
33 GF / 24 GA
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WLDWL
32 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
13
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
5
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 15 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 20 matches
Brann Statistic Sarpsborg 08 FF
5 Wins 10
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
33 Goals For 32
24 Goals Against 28
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
13 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 4.3
13.27 Total Shots 11.6
6.64 Corners 4.9
56.6% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Brann's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarpsborg 08 FF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brann expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control.

Brann Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Brann have collected 13 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, while the 22:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kristall Máni Ingason (4 goals), N. Holm (4 goals), B. Finne (3 goals), with creative support from U. Mathisen (3 assists), B. Finne (2 assists), K. Eriksen (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

With 8 points from 9 games and a place of 13, Sarpsborg 08 FF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Karlsbakk (2 goals), V. E. Halvorsen (2 goals), A. Nibe (1 goals), with creative support from V. E. Halvorsen (1 assists), C. Niyukuri (1 assists), S. Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 4 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Brann's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Brann 9, Sarpsborg 08 FF 6
H2H summary: Brann wins 4, draws 6, Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 3
Stats
Brann Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 5
6 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 3
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
588 Total passes 259
485 Passes accurate 163
0.77 expected_goals 1.06
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Brann
Formation
Sarpsborg 08 FF
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen
R. Holten
R. Holten
F. Knudsen
F. Knudsen
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes
J. Soltvedt
🎯
J. Soltvedt
K. M. Ingason
K. M. Ingason
N. Wassberg
N. Wassberg
F. Myhre
F. Myhre
U. Mathisen
U. Mathisen
K. Eriksen
K. Eriksen
J. Thorsteinsson
J. Thorsteinsson
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
C. Niyukuri
🎯
C. Niyukuri
B. Utvik
B. Utvik
M. Koch
M. Koch
A. Hiim
A. Hiim
S. Sorli
🎯
S. Sorli
V. E. Halvorsen
V. E. Halvorsen
S. Christiansen
S. Christiansen
A. Nibe
A. Nibe
D. Karlsbakk
D. Karlsbakk
N. Williams
N. Williams
Brann 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
S. Nilsen
G
43
R. Holten
⚽ 29' ↓ 85'
D
3
F. Knudsen
🟨 63'
D
20
V. Dragsnes
D
17
J. Soltvedt
🎯 29' ↓ 72' 🟨 57'
D
10
K. M. Ingason
M
25
N. Wassberg
M
8
F. Myhre
M
14
U. Mathisen
↓ 60'
F
16
K. Eriksen
↓ 59'
F
7
J. Thorsteinsson
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
36
H. M. Hellesoy
G
26
R. Matondo
M
2
M. Hellan
↑ 85'
D
6
D. Mbacke
D
11
B. Finne
↑ 60'
F
29
N. Holm
↑ 59'
F
32
M. Haaland
↑ 60'
M
15
J. Torsvik
↑ 72'
D
40
J. Eikrem
M
Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Ndiaye
G
12
C. Niyukuri
🎯 45' ↓ 76'
D
4
B. Utvik
D
2
M. Koch
D
21
A. Hiim
D
10
S. Sorli
⚽ 45' 🎯 41' ↓ 80'
M
22
V. E. Halvorsen
⚽ 41' ↓ 46'
M
8
S. Christiansen
🟨 58'
M
33
A. Nibe
M
11
D. Karlsbakk
↓ 88'
F
17
N. Williams
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
87
L. Oy
G
32
E. Wichne
↑ 46'
D
3
N. Skuseth
↑ 88'
D
81
M. Svenningsen Gronn
↑ 80'
M
5
M. Odegaard
↑ 76' 🟨 90+3'
D
7
Camil Mmaee
M
26
Chriso
M
18
B. Gueye
↑ 88'
M
50
M. M. Eidal
D
Last matches: Brann
24.05.26
Eli
Brann
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
20.05.26
Eli
Brann
Aalesund
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Brann
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
02.05.26
Eli
Brann
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
29.04.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
5
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Brann
Rosenborg
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Brann
Viking
2
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Brann
Sandefjord
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eli
Brann
Ham-Kam
5
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
1
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Brann
Kristiansund BK
2
3
L
26.02.26
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Brann
Sotra
2
2
D
19.02.26
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Brann
ODD Ballklubb
6
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
Brann
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
22.01.26
UEF
Brann
FC Midtjylland
3
3
D
16.01.26
Fri
Brann
Slavia Praha
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Brann
FC Copenhagen
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
Brann
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sirius
3
2
W
01.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Osters IF
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Gais
1
4
L
H2H: Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
29.05.26
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.08.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
1
4
W
16.05.25
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
01.09.24
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
L
20.07.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
L
17.02.23
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
3
D
17.02.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
3
3
D
12.12.21
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
28.11.21
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
13.06.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
0
0
D
14.04.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
0
0
D
06.12.20
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
02.07.20
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
0
1
W
Last matches: Brann
16.05.26
Eli
Brann
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
02.05.26
Eli
Brann
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
12.04.26
Eli
Brann
Sandefjord
0
1
L
22.03.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Brann
Sotra
2
2
D
19.02.26
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Brann
ODD Ballklubb
6
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Brann
FC Midtjylland
3
3
D
10.01.26
Fri
Brann
FC Copenhagen
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
Brann
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
23.10.25
UEF
Brann
Rangers
3
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
Brann
Utrecht
1
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Brann
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
14.08.25
UEF
Brann
BK Hacken
0
1
L
23.07.25
UEF
Brann
Red Bull Salzburg
1
4
L
H2H at home: Brann
29.05.26
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
16.05.25
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
01.09.24
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
L
03.09.23
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
17.02.23
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
3
D
12.12.21
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
28.11.21
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
06.12.20
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sirius
3
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Gais
1
4
L
H2H away: Sarpsborg 08 FF
29.05.26
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
W
16.05.25
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
01.09.24
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
W
03.09.23
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
L
17.02.23
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
3
D
12.12.21
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
L
28.11.21
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
06.12.20
H2H
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.28
Draw 4.42
Home 1.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.54
Draw 2.70
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 2.75 1.57
Over 3.0 1.72
Over 3.25 1.97
Over 3.5 2.18
Over 3.75 2.51
Over 4.5 3.72
Over 5.5 7.04
Under 1.5 5.98
Under 2.5 2.76
Under 2.75 2.49
Under 3.0 2.19
Under 3.25 1.92
Under 3.5 1.72
Under 3.75 1.56
Under 4.5 1.29
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 4.20
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.60
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.34
Draw 4.34
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.25
Draw 2.48
Home 2.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.05
Draw 2.92
Home 1.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 1.75 1.11
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.27
Over 2.5 1.41
Over 2.75 1.52
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.95
Over 3.5 2.17
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.85
Over 4.25 3.12
Over 4.5 3.38
Over 4.75 4.15
Over 5.0 5.50
Over 5.25 5.80
Over 5.5 6.15
Over 6.0 8.80
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.35
Under 1.75 4.90
Under 2.0 4.45
Under 2.25 3.14
Under 2.5 2.54
Under 2.75 2.31
Under 3.0 2.06
Under 3.25 1.87
Under 3.5 1.70
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.0 1.35
Under 4.25 1.28
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 4.75 1.16
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 4.25
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.63
Home 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.05
Home 1.89
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 3.0 1.64
Over 3.5 2.05
Over 4.0 2.85
Over 4.25 3.10
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.0 5.30
Over 5.25 5.60
Over 5.5 5.80
Under 1.5 5.30
Under 2.0 4.50
Under 2.5 2.63
Under 3.0 2.10
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.0 1.36
Under 4.25 1.30
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 5.0 1.11
Under 5.25 1.10
Under 5.5 1.09

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5 11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11
Brann Home
12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D

Missing Players

Brann 9 missing
-
N. Castro
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
S. Magnusson
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Boakye
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Gudmundsson
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Opsahl
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Dyngeland
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. De Roeve
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. Pedersen
Missing Fixture Elbow Injury
OUT
-
J. Sorensen
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Sarpsborg 08 FF 6 missing
-
F. Carstensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Reinhardsen
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
J. Berget
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Opoku
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
S. Rosted
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
A. Sher
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT