NORWAY ELITESERIEN
02.05.2026 16:00
Brann Stadion
Referee: S. T. Sinnes
Brann
Match Timeline
Fredrikstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
K. M. Ingason · Assist: U. Mathisen
Brann
🔄
46'
S. Leach ↔ F. Ghebreyohannes
Fredrikstad
🟨
53'
Jonathan Norbye
Fredrikstad
🔄
61'
H. Skogvold ↔ S. Laghzaoui
Fredrikstad
🔄
65'
U. Mathisen ↔ K. Eriksen
Brann
🔄
65'
J. Thorsteinsson ↔ M. Haaland
Brann
69'
J. Soltvedt · Assist: K. M. Ingason
Brann
🟨
71'
Kristian Eriksen
Brann
🔄
75'
F. Holme ↔ M. Nilsson
Fredrikstad
🔄
77'
J. Sorensen ↔ N. Wassberg
Brann
🔄
77'
J. Soltvedt ↔ J. Torsvik
Brann
🔄
81'
O. Ohlenschlaeger ↔ B. Faraas
Fredrikstad
🔄
81'
J. Norbye ↔ E. Granaas
Fredrikstad
🔄
87'
N. Holm ↔ B. Finne
Brann
VAR
90+4'
Kristian Eriksen
Brann
90'
B. Finne
Brann
90'
U. Fredriksen · Assist: D. Eid
Fredrikstad

Brann vs Fredrikstad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 44%
Draw 0%
Fredrikstad Win 56%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann2.03
Fredrikstad1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
26 GF / 17 GA
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
9
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
8
5.43
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 11 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 13 matches
Brann Statistic Fredrikstad
3 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
26 Goals For 24
17 Goals Against 20
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
9 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
5.43 Shots On Goal 4
14.29 Total Shots 12.33
7.71 Corners 5
56% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Brann's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brann expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fredrikstad in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fredrikstad. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Brann Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Brann have collected 7 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kristall Máni Ingason (3 goals), B. Finne (2 goals), J. Soltvedt (2 goals), with creative support from B. Finne (2 assists), K. Eriksen (2 assists), N. Holm (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Fredrikstad Analysis

So far, Fredrikstad have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 7 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. R. Shein (2 goals), S. Hestnes (2 goals), D. Eid (1 goals), with creative support from J. Nunez (1 assists), O. Ohlenschlaeger (1 assists), L. Owusu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 6 times, Fredrikstad won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:7 from Brann's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Fredrikstad 5-3-2
H2H summary: Brann wins 6, draws 0, Fredrikstad wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5
Brann Home
18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen