Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
70.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Recoleta
28 matches
Cerro Porteno
35 matches
| Deportivo Recoleta | Statistic | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 17 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 11 |
| 45 | Goals For | 44 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 10.11 | Total Shots | 11.43 |
| 3.61 | Corners | 4.31 |
| 47.3% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Recoleta expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cerro Porteno in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro Porteno having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerro Porteno.
Deportivo Recoleta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 10:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Héctor López (2 goals), Wilfrido Baez (1 goals), Aldo Gonzalez (1 goals), with creative support from Wilfrido Baez (1 assists), Aldo Gonzalez (1 assists), Paul Charpentier (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cerro Porteno approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 6 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:7 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jorge Morel (2 goals), Pablo Vegetti (1 goals), Iván Ramírez (1 goals), with creative support from Cecilio Domínguez (1 assists), Cesar Bobadilla (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, Cerro Porteno won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
Junior
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
Junior
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
Junior
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Home
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
| 10 |
Cerro Porteno
Away
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1:12 | -11 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|