PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - CLAUSURA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 61.9%
Draw 12.3%
Cerro Porteno Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.31
Cerro Porteno1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WWDLW
45 GF / 45 GA
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WLDWL
44 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
21
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
11
3.71
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 28 matches
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 35 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Statistic Cerro Porteno
10 Wins 17
5 Draws 7
13 Losses 11
45 Goals For 44
45 Goals Against 30
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
21 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 16
3 Failed To Score 9
3.71 Shots On Goal 4.2
10.11 Total Shots 11.43
3.61 Corners 4.31
47.3% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Recoleta expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cerro Porteno in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro Porteno having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerro Porteno.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

Deportivo Recoleta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 10:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Héctor López (2 goals), Wilfrido Baez (1 goals), Aldo Gonzalez (1 goals), with creative support from Wilfrido Baez (1 assists), Aldo Gonzalez (1 assists), Paul Charpentier (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Cerro Porteno approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 6 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:7 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jorge Morel (2 goals), Pablo Vegetti (1 goals), Iván Ramírez (1 goals), with creative support from Cecilio Domínguez (1 assists), Cesar Bobadilla (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, Cerro Porteno won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / Cerro Porteno 5-3-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 1, draws 1, Cerro Porteno wins 5
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
22.08.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
3
L
14.08.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
2
L
07.08.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
3
1
W
03.08.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
3
2
W
30.07.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
1
4
L
25.07.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
2
3
L
11.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
2
3
L
03.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
24.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
23.08.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
2
L
19.08.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
0
1
L
16.08.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
12.08.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
08.08.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
01.08.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
0
W
28.07.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
1
2
L
24.07.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
24.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
11.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
H2H: Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno
03.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
01.03.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
L
03.10.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
28.04.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
15.02.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
L
18.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
14.08.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
2
L
03.08.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
3
2
W
25.07.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
03.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
23.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Deportivo Recoleta
03.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
28.04.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
L
18.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
23.08.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
2
L
12.08.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
08.08.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
28.07.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
1
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
27.01.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
H2H away: Cerro Porteno
03.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
W
28.04.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
1
3
W
18.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 11:5 6 15
W W W L W
2 6 4 2 0 7:3 4 14
D W W D W
3 7 3 3 1 11:5 6 12
W W D D L
4 6 3 2 1 11:5 6 11
D D L W W
5 6 3 0 3 9:6 3 9
W W L W L
6 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
W L L W L
7 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
W L W D D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
D L D W W
9 6 2 1 3 10:13 -3 7
L L W W L
10 6 2 0 4 7:7 0 6
L W L W L
11 7 1 2 4 6:14 -8 5
L D W L L
12 7 0 1 6 1:12 -11 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)