Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Botafogo
Vitoria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
22 matches
Vitoria
18 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 36 | Goals For | 22 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.95 | Shots On Goal | 4.28 |
| 12.82 | Total Shots | 11.17 |
| 3.82 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 45.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vitoria. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Vitoria in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vitoria having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, Botafogo have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 22 points from 17 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:31 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Danilo (7 goals), Matheus Martins (4 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), Alex Telles (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vitoria sit 13 with 22 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 21:25 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by Rene (5 goals), Renato Kayzer (3 goals), Baralhas (2 goals), with creative support from Erick (4 assists), Baralhas (3 assists), Luan Candido (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 6 times, Vitoria won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Botafogo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Botafogo
6
1
7
2
6
2
Lineups
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Remo
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Santos
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Corinthians
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Remo
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Remo
Vitoria
Santos
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Botafogo
Home
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Away
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
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