Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsBotafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
32 matches
Vasco DA Gama
27 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 44 | Goals For | 34 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.09 | Shots On Goal | 5.37 |
| 14.06 | Total Shots | 17.81 |
| 4.34 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Vasco DA Gama in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vasco DA Gama having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vasco DA Gama.
Botafogo are currently 12 in the standings with 35 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 41:45 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenílson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (4 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Barrera, K. Barria, Matheus Martins unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Vasco DA Gama approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 31 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 34:41 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Gómez (5 goals), Thiago Mendes (4 goals), David (3 goals), with creative support from J. Rodríguez (3 assists), A. Gómez (2 assists), David (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Mateus Carvalho, Brenner, A. Gomez unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 7 times, Vasco DA Gama won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Botafogo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 |
Botafogo
Home
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 14 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | -31 | 18 |
L
L
D
L
W
|