Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vasco DA Gama Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.62
Vasco DA Gama1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo
WWDLW
36 GF / 35 GA
Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
16
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
11
4.95
Shots on Goal
5.37
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
22 matches
Vasco DA Gama
19 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 36 | Goals For | 22 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.95 | Shots On Goal | 5.37 |
| 12.82 | Total Shots | 17.47 |
| 3.82 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 7 times, Vasco DA Gama won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Botafogo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-4-2 / Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 7, draws 3, Vasco DA Gama wins 5
Last matches: Botafogo
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
04.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
0
1
L
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H: Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama
05.04.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
W
08.02.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
2
0
L
05.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
12.09.25
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
28.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
1
D
12.07.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
0
2
W
23.02.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
0
L
06.11.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
29.06.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
1
D
18.02.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
4
L
06.11.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
0
L
02.07.23
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
16.02.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
2
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
0
1
W
07.11.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
0
4
W
Last matches: Botafogo
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
30.01.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo
05.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
12.09.25
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
06.11.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
18.02.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
4
L
02.07.23
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H away: Vasco DA Gama
05.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
L
12.09.25
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
06.11.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
L
18.02.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
4
W
02.07.23
H2H
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Botafogo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B