Botafogo vs Bahia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.32
Bahia1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo
WWDLW
40 GF / 43 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
46 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
18
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
15
5
Shots on Goal
4.71
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
29 matches
Bahia
30 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 7 |
| 40 | Goals For | 46 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.71 |
| 14.03 | Total Shots | 14.32 |
| 4.34 | Corners | 5.64 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 4 times, Bahia won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Botafogo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 4, draws 3, Bahia wins 8
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 54 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Bahia
Away
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Botafogo
Home
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:40 | -11 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 27:50 | -23 | 17 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B