Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.45
Bahia1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo
WWDLW
36 GF / 35 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
34 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
16
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
12
5
Shots on Goal
4.76
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
23 matches
Bahia
23 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 36 | Goals For | 34 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.76 |
| 13.09 | Total Shots | 13.1 |
| 4.04 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 4 times, Bahia won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Botafogo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 4, draws 3, Bahia wins 8
Last matches: Botafogo
23.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
04.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
H2H: Botafogo vs Bahia
30.05.26
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
L
02.10.25
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
2
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
0
0
D
07.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
1
0
L
31.07.24
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
3
0
W
24.04.23
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
1
2
W
08.11.20
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
1
0
L
01.10.20
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
26.09.19
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
2
0
L
02.05.19
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
3
2
W
20.10.18
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
0
1
L
10.06.18
H2H
Bahia
Botafogo
3
3
D
Last matches: Botafogo
23.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
30.01.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo
02.10.25
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
2
1
W
31.07.24
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
3
0
W
01.10.20
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
02.05.19
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
3
2
W
20.10.18
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
0
1
L
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
02.10.25
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
2
1
L
31.07.24
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
W
27.08.23
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
3
0
L
01.10.20
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
W
02.05.19
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
3
2
L
20.10.18
H2H
Botafogo
Bahia
0
1
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 33:14 | 19 | 44 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:16 | 19 | 37 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | -3 | 27 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Botafogo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17:39 | -22 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B