Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
79.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
87.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo SP
9 matches
Athletic Club
9 matches
| Botafogo SP | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 10 | Goals For | 10 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 2.89 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 9.33 | Total Shots | 9.67 |
| 5.56 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 41.9% | Ball Possession | 42.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Athletic Club in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Athletic Club.
Botafogo SP sit 17 with 9 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 10:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (5 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (2 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Athletic Club sit 14 with 11 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats with a 10:10 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Belezi (1 goals), Bruninho (1 goals), with creative support from Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), Max (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 0 times, Athletic Club won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 41 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Athletic Club
Away
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Botafogo SP
Home
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
| 16 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16:52 | -36 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
L
|