Login Register
ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
27.10.2026 19:45
Jakemans Community Stadium

Boston United vs Gateshead Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 87.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
87.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Boston United Win 44.7%
Draw 42.7%
Gateshead Win 12.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston United1.52
Gateshead1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boston United Boston United
WWDLW
19 GF / 30 GA
Gateshead Gateshead
WLDWL
22 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
2.29
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
13
6
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boston United Boston United 19 matches
Gateshead Gateshead 21 matches
Boston United Statistic Gateshead
5 Wins 2
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 14
19 Goals For 22
30 Goals Against 48
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 2.29
10 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 7
6 Shots On Goal 5.5
11 Total Shots 8.5
9 Corners 5.5
44% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gateshead having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gateshead. Boston United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 21 with 12 points compared to Gateshead in 24 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Boston United Analysis

Boston United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 12 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gateshead Analysis

Gateshead sit 24 with 4 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 8:31, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Boston United won 4 times, Gateshead won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Boston United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.4%)
H2H summary: Boston United wins 4, draws 0, Gateshead wins 5

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation