URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Artigas
Referee: J. Burgos
Boston River
Match Timeline
Liverpool Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Ignacio Fernandez
Boston River
🟨
15'
Federico Martínez
Liverpool Montevideo
22'
L. Acosta
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
29'
I. Fernandez ↔ J. S. O'Neill Lopez
Boston River
🟨
34'
Rafael Haller
Boston River
🔄
46'
Y. Gonzalez ↔ A. Amado
Boston River
🔄
46'
M. Hornos ↔ G. Reyna
Boston River
🔄
46'
K. Amaro ↔ F. Perdomo
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
49'
Marco Mancebo
Boston River
🟨
55'
Santiago Laquidaín
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
65'
Juan Acosta
Boston River
🟨
65'
Ramiro Matias Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
66'
L. Acosta ↔ M. Mir
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
73'
Juan Ignacio González
Boston River
🟨
73'
Nicolás Garayalde
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
80'
J. Acosta ↔ F. Dafonte
Boston River
🔄
80'
F. Bonfiglio ↔ A. Gonzalez
Boston River
🔄
80'
D. Romero ↔ A. Cayetano
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
80'
F. Barcelo ↔ R. Machado
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
88'
F. Martinez ↔ M. Rabunal
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
90+9'
Renzo Machado
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
90+4'
Mathias Bernatene
Liverpool Montevideo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 32.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
32.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
37.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Boston River Win 49.5%
Draw 3.7%
Liverpool Montevideo Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston River1.1
Liverpool Montevideo1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boston River Boston River
WWDLW
18 GF / 24 GA
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WLDWL
22 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
8
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boston River Boston River 17 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 19 matches
Boston River Statistic Liverpool Montevideo
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
18 Goals For 22
24 Goals Against 22
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
8 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 3.5
0 Total Shots 11.5
0 Corners 4
0% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Liverpool Montevideo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boston River expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Liverpool Montevideo in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Boston River have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Boston River Analysis

Boston River approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 17 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 14:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Bonfiglio (4 goals), F. Munoa (3 goals), L. Suhr (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo are currently 9 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 20:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Martinez (7 goals), D. Romero (3 goals), F. Barcelo (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Boston River won 1 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from Boston River's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Boston River 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool Montevideo 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Boston River wins 1, draws 4, Liverpool Montevideo wins 10

Lineups

Boston River
Formation
Liverpool Montevideo
B. Antunez
B. Antunez
J. Acosta
J. Acosta
M. Mancebo
M. Mancebo
M. Gonzalez
M. Gonzalez
I. Fernandez
I. Fernandez
R. Haller
R. Haller
M. Hornos
M. Hornos
L. Suhr
L. Suhr
F. Munoa
F. Munoa
Y. Gonzalez
Y. Gonzalez
F. Bonfiglio
F. Bonfiglio
M. Bernatene
M. Bernatene
K. Amaro
K. Amaro
S. Strasorier
S. Strasorier
S. Laquidain
S. Laquidain
E. Castillo
E. Castillo
D. Romero
D. Romero
R. M. Degregorio
R. M. Degregorio
N. Garayalde
N. Garayalde
L. Acosta
L. Acosta
F. Barcelo
F. Barcelo
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
Boston River 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Antunez
G
31
J. Acosta
↓ 80' 🟨 65'
D
3
M. Mancebo
🟨 49'
D
30
M. Gonzalez
D
13
I. Fernandez
↓ 29' 🟨 7'
D
17
R. Haller
🟨 34'
D
20
M. Hornos
↓ 46'
M
16
L. Suhr
M
26
F. Munoa
M
32
Y. Gonzalez
↓ 46'
M
8
F. Bonfiglio
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Gonzalez
🟨 73'
G
2
K. Sotto
D
25
A. Aguirre
D
24
J. S. O'Neill Lopez
↑ 29'
D
14
F. Dafonte
↑ 80'
M
10
A. Amado
↑ 46'
M
11
G. Ramirez
M
29
A. Lima
M
99
G. Reyna
↑ 46'
M
9
A. Gonzalez
↑ 80'
F
Liverpool Montevideo 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
M. Bernatene
🟨 90+4'
G
24
K. Amaro
↓ 46'
M
3
S. Strasorier
D
15
S. Laquidain
🟨 55'
D
23
E. Castillo
D
27
D. Romero
↓ 80'
D
10
R. M. Degregorio
🟨 65'
F
5
N. Garayalde
🟨 73'
M
16
L. Acosta
⚽ 22' ↓ 66'
M
31
F. Barcelo
↓ 80'
F
7
F. Martinez
↓ 88' 🟨 15'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Cabrera
G
18
A. Cayetano
↑ 80'
D
34
K. Lewis
D
4
F. Perdomo
↑ 46'
D
8
M. Mir
↑ 66'
M
20
M. Rabunal
↑ 88'
M
26
T. Brizuela
F
9
R. Machado
↑ 80' 🟨 90+9'
F
22
D. Zabala
M
6
S. Milano
M
Last matches: Boston River
18.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
4
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
4
1
W
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Albion FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
1
2
L
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
H2H: Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo
01.06.26
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
27.09.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
29.09.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
1
D
23.06.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
L
14.03.24
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
29.11.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
2
0
L
28.04.23
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
09.10.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
3
2
L
16.05.22
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
2
3
L
24.10.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
2
2
D
27.06.21
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
28.03.21
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
11.10.20
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
3
2
L
Last matches: Boston River
12.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
4
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
4
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Albion FC
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
1
2
L
17.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
0
0
D
20.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Plaza Colonia
6
1
W
06.09.25
Pri
Boston River
CA River Plate
2
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
2
1
W
15.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
4
0
W
29.05.16
Seg
Boston River
Rocha
2
0
W
18.05.16
Seg
Boston River
Canadian
3
2
W
13.05.16
Seg
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
2
0
W
H2H at home: Boston River
01.06.26
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
14.03.24
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
28.04.23
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
16.05.22
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
2
3
L
27.06.21
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
28.03.21
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
07.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
10.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
1
0
W
23.05.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Espanola
2
5
L
16.05.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
0
0
D
28.04.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
2
1
W
H2H away: Liverpool Montevideo
01.06.26
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
W
10.03.26
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
W
14.03.24
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
28.04.23
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
W
16.05.22
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
2
3
W
27.06.21
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
28.03.21
H2H
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 4 5 36:22 14 40
L D W W D
2 21 12 4 5 32:19 13 40
W D W L W
3 20 10 8 2 26:16 10 38
D D D D W
4 21 9 6 6 30:22 8 33
L D W L L
5 20 9 5 6 32:25 7 32
W L W W L
6 21 10 2 9 32:28 4 32
L D W L W
7 20 9 5 6 27:25 2 32
D D W L W
8 21 9 5 7 26:25 1 32
W W D W D
9 20 6 7 7 23:22 1 25
L D W D L
10 20 7 4 9 22:21 1 25
D D W W L
11 20 5 9 6 16:17 -1 24
D D D L L
12 21 6 4 11 25:33 -8 22
W L D L L
13 21 6 4 11 19:29 -10 22
L D D L L
14 20 4 9 7 20:27 -7 21
D D D L L
15 21 4 4 13 17:32 -15 16
W L L W L
16 20 4 4 12 12:32 -20 16
W L L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)