08.09.2026 19:00
Signal Iduna Park
Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy
Borussia Dortmund
Match Timeline
Villarreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
27'
K. Karetsas ↔ E. Nwaneri
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
38'
Waldemar Anton
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
38'
Pau Navarro
Villarreal
🟨
42'
Sergi Cardona
Villarreal
🔄
46'
S. Cardona ↔ A. Freeman
Villarreal
53'
R. Veiga
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
59'
T. Oluwaseyi ↔ A. Moleiro
Villarreal
🔄
59'
N. Saliba ↔ N. Pepe
Villarreal
66'
S. Mourino · Assist: G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
🔄
75'
M. Sabitzer ↔ J. Bellingham
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
75'
F. Nmecha ↔ F. Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
75'
T. Buchanan ↔ A. Diatta
Villarreal
80'
S. Guirassy · Assist: F. Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
82'
M. Beier ↔ K. Prates
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
82'
↔ C. Chukwuemeka
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
83'
Santiago Mouriño
Villarreal
🔄
83'
P. Navarro ↔ G. Moreno
Villarreal
85'
S. Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
90'
S. Guirassy
Villarreal

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
1.83
BTTS Yes
75%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 54.6%
Draw 12.3%
Villarreal Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund1.58
Villarreal1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
13 GF / 10 GA
Villarreal Villarreal
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 8 matches
Villarreal Villarreal 8 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic Villarreal
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
13 Goals For 12
10 Goals Against 12
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 6
12 Total Shots 15.25
4 Corners 7.25
44% Ball Possession 61.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1 times, Villarreal won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / Villarreal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Borussia Dortmund 7, Villarreal 2
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 1, draws 1, Villarreal wins 1

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)