MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion pod Vrmcem
Bokelj
Match Timeline
Arsenal Tivat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
M. Cavor
Bokelj
🟨
28'
V. Kascelan
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
32'
S. Mandic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
65'
A. Imamovic ↔ A. Macanovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
69'
S. Kordic ↔ B. Stamenkovic
Bokelj
81'
I. Pocek
Bokelj
🟨
82'
B. Zogovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
82'
S. Mandic ↔ J. Montenegro
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
82'
↔ D. Sim
Arsenal Tivat
83'
M. Cavor
Bokelj
🟨
88'
M. Cavor
Bokelj
🔄
88'
Z. Mugosa ↔ V. Janketic
Bokelj
🔄
88'
I. Pocek ↔ S. Golubovic
Bokelj
🔄
88'
M. Cavor ↔ A. Krivokapic
Bokelj
🔄
88'
M. Zivanovic ↔ M. Zivaljevic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
88'
Z. Mikijelj ↔ P. Malisic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
89'
B. Stamenkovic
Bokelj

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
66.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bokelj Win 22.6%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Tivat Win 77.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bokelj1.06
Arsenal Tivat1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bokelj Bokelj
WWDLW
33 GF / 46 GA
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bokelj Bokelj 33 matches
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 33 matches
Bokelj Statistic Arsenal Tivat
6 Wins 11
12 Draws 10
15 Losses 12
33 Goals For 33
46 Goals Against 38
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
15 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Tivat having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arsenal Tivat.

Bokelj Analysis

So far, Bokelj have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 30 points from 33 matches. The record of 6 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 33:46 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Mukovic (5 goals), K. Radunovic (4 goals), I. Pocek (3 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

Arsenal Tivat sit 6 with 43 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, while the 33:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Bosnjak (5 goals), P. Raznatovic (4 goals), A. Cetkovic (3 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bokelj won 4 times, Arsenal Tivat won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Bokelj's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Bokelj wins 4, draws 4, Arsenal Tivat wins 7

Lineups

Bokelj
Formation
Arsenal Tivat
S. Spasojevic
S. Spasojevic
F. Mukovic
F. Mukovic
S. Kordic
S. Kordic
I. Pocek
I. Pocek
K. Radunovic
K. Radunovic
D. Bumbar
D. Bumbar
Z. Mugosa
Z. Mugosa
S. Vico
S. Vico
I. Cukovic
I. Cukovic
M. Cavor
⚽ 2
M. Cavor
B. Raso
B. Raso
B. Zogovic
B. Zogovic
G. Petovic
G. Petovic
I. Sahman
I. Sahman
I. Vukcevic
I. Vukcevic
A. Imamovic
A. Imamovic
V. Kascelan
V. Kascelan
Z. Mikijelj
Z. Mikijelj
M. Zivanovic
M. Zivanovic
A. Cetkovic
A. Cetkovic
S. Mandic
S. Mandic
N. Kovinic
N. Kovinic
Bokelj 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
88
S. Spasojevic
8
F. Mukovic
9
S. Kordic
↓ 69'
10
I. Pocek
⚽ 81' ↓ 88'
14
K. Radunovic
15
D. Bumbar
16
Z. Mugosa
↓ 88'
22
S. Vico
26
I. Cukovic
29
M. Cavor
⚽ 21' ⚽ 83' ↓ 88' 🟨 88'
33
B. Raso
Substitutes
1
D. Cetkovic
7
V. Janketic
↑ 88'
17
S. Mrsulja
21
S. Golubovic
↑ 88'
23
A. Krivokapic
↑ 88'
27
B. Radevic
31
B. Nurkovic
80
Z. Vilotijevic
99
B. Stamenkovic
↑ 69' 🟨 89'
Arsenal Tivat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Zogovic
🟨 82'
5
G. Petovic
8
I. Sahman
9
I. Vukcevic
14
A. Imamovic
↓ 65'
16
V. Kascelan
🟨 28'
19
Z. Mikijelj
↓ 88'
26
M. Zivanovic
↓ 88'
28
A. Cetkovic
77
S. Mandic
↓ 82' 🟨 32'
90
N. Kovinic
Substitutes
12
I. Bozinovic
2
M. Cukovic
3
M. Zivaljevic
↑ 88'
4
J. Nikolic
11
J. Montenegro
↑ 82'
15
P. Malisic
↑ 88'
17
D. Sim
↑ 82'
20
A. Macanovic
↑ 65'
27
A. Kralj
Last matches: Bokelj
19.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Otrant-Olympic
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
BSK Banja Luka
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
03.06.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
0
0
D
24.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
1
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
1
2
L
10.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
0
0
D
02.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
2
3
L
26.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
0
2
L
12.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
11.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
4
L
25.02.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
1
1
D
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
16.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Zrinjski
0
6
L
08.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
24.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
20.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
1
W
09.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
H2H: Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat
08.07.26
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
16.05.26
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
17.09.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
2
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
12.03.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
L
02.11.24
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
31.08.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
1
D
07.09.22
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
3
L
17.04.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
1
W
06.03.22
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
3
L
17.10.21
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
0
D
22.08.21
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
02.05.21
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
Last matches: Bokelj
19.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Otrant-Olympic
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
BSK Banja Luka
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
29.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
0
0
D
24.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
1
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
2
3
L
18.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
0
2
L
08.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
0
0
D
06.12.25
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
1
1
D
22.11.25
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
01.11.25
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
4
5
L
18.10.25
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
3
0
W
01.10.25
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
1
2
L
21.09.25
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
13.09.25
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
L
24.08.25
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bokelj
08.07.26
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
16.05.26
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
10.05.25
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
02.11.24
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
07.09.22
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
3
L
06.03.22
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
3
L
22.08.21
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
02.05.21
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
16.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Zrinjski
0
6
L
08.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
4
L
27.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
20.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
1
W
02.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
3
L
30.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
4
L
22.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
2
L
02.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
2
L
18.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
4
L
01.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
27.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
2
L
13.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
2
L
H2H away: Arsenal Tivat
08.07.26
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
L
16.05.26
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
02.11.24
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
W
07.09.22
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
3
W
06.03.22
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
3
W
22.08.21
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
02.05.21
H2H
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
W

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation