Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bohemians Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derry City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bohemians1.53
Derry City1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bohemians
WWDLW
60 GF / 39 GA
Derry City
WLDWL
37 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
23
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
16
4.43
Shots on Goal
3.77
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bohemians
36 matches
Derry City
32 matches
| Bohemians | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 6 |
| 11 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 60 | Goals For | 37 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.43 | Shots On Goal | 3.77 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 10.77 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 3 times, Derry City won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from Bohemians's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bohemians 3-5-2 / Derry City 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bohemians wins 3, draws 5, Derry City wins 7
Last matches: Bohemians
02.08.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
Ballkani
2
3
L
22.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
Ballkani
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
2
0
W
03.07.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
3
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
15.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
Last matches: Derry City
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
H2H: Bohemians vs Derry City
12.06.26
H2H
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
L
01.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
20.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
W
12.09.25
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
3
4
L
25.07.25
H2H
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
30.05.25
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
W
21.02.25
H2H
Derry City
Bohemians
1
0
L
11.10.24
H2H
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
04.10.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
0
2
L
13.06.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
2
L
10.05.24
H2H
Derry City
Bohemians
1
0
L
15.03.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
2
1
W
25.08.23
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
2
2
D
09.06.23
H2H
Derry City
Bohemians
0
0
D
12.05.23
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
0
1
L
Last matches: Bohemians
02.08.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
1
D
22.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
Ballkani
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
2
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
18.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Finglas United
0
1
L
16.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Longford Town
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Athlone Town
4
1
W
H2H at home: Bohemians
01.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
12.09.25
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
3
4
L
30.05.25
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
W
04.10.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
0
2
L
13.06.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
2
L
15.03.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
2
1
W
25.08.23
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
2
2
D
12.05.23
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
0
1
L
Last matches: Derry City
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
23.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Polessya
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
H2H away: Derry City
01.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
12.09.25
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
3
4
W
30.05.25
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
L
04.10.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
0
2
W
13.06.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
1
2
W
15.03.24
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
2
1
L
25.08.23
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
2
2
D
12.05.23
H2H
Bohemians
Derry City
0
1
W
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Bohemians
Home
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation