PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Luz
Referee: F. Verissimo
Benfica
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
A. Schjelderup · Assist: G. Prestianni
Benfica
14'
Rafa Silva · Assist: G. Prestianni
Benfica
🟨
22'
Samuel Dahl
Benfica
🟨
50'
Witi
Nacional
🟨
56'
Léo Santos
Nacional
🟨
58'
Matheus Dias
Nacional
🔄
61'
Matheus Dias ↔ F. Soares
Nacional
🔄
61'
Witi ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
🔄
77'
V. Pavlidis ↔ F. Ivanovic
Benfica
🔄
78'
Rafa Silva ↔ F. Aursnes
Benfica
🔄
78'
G. Prestianni ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🔄
79'
R. Rios ↔ E. Barrenechea
Benfica
🔄
83'
C. Labidi ↔ J. Silva
Nacional
🔄
83'
Jose Gomes ↔ L. Vallier
Nacional
🟨
90+4'
Lenny Vallier
Nacional
🟨
90'
Joel Silva
Nacional
🔄
90+2'
A. Schjelderup ↔ G. Moreira
Benfica
🔄
90+1'
Daniel Junior ↔ J. Aurelio
Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica1.63
Nacional0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
WWDLW
75 GF / 33 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
31 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
18
BTTS Yes
15
23
Over 2.5
13
5.43
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 42 matches
Nacional Nacional 28 matches
Benfica Statistic Nacional
25 Wins 6
10 Draws 7
7 Losses 15
75 Goals For 31
33 Goals Against 39
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
18 BTTS Yes 15
33 Over 1.5 20
23 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 6
19 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 9
5.43 Shots On Goal 4.14
15.86 Total Shots 12.54
6.36 Corners 4.32
55.3% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 14 times, Nacional won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 50:10 from Benfica's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 4-3-3
H2H summary: Benfica wins 14, draws 1, Nacional wins 0
Stats
Benfica Benfica
Nacional Nacional
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
15 Corner Kicks 1
13 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 1
21 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
467 Total passes 355
405 Passes accurate 287
3.43 expected_goals 0.25
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Benfica
Formation
Nacional
A. Trubin
A. Trubin
A. Dedic
A. Dedic
A. Silva
A. Silva
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
S. Dahl
S. Dahl
R. Rios
R. Rios
L. Barreiro
L. Barreiro
G. Prestianni
🎯
G. Prestianni
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup
V. Pavlidis
V. Pavlidis
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
A. Nunez
A. Nunez
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Jose Gomes
Jose Gomes
C. Labidi
C. Labidi
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias
Liziero
Liziero
Daniel Junior
Daniel Junior
J. Ramirez
J. Ramirez
Witi
Witi
Benfica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Trubin
G
17
A. Dedic
D
4
A. Silva
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
26
S. Dahl
🟨 22'
D
20
R. Rios
↓ 79'
M
18
L. Barreiro
M
25
G. Prestianni
🎯 3' 🎯 14' ↓ 78'
M
27
Rafa Silva
⚽ 14' ↓ 78'
M
21
A. Schjelderup
⚽ 3' ↓ 90+2'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Soares
G
8
F. Aursnes
↑ 78'
M
9
F. Ivanovic
↑ 77'
F
77
G. Moreira
↑ 90+2'
M
72
Anisio
F
11
D. Lukebakio
↑ 78'
F
6
A. Bah
D
10
G. Sudakov
M
5
E. Barrenechea
↑ 79'
M
Nacional 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
G
16
A. Nunez
D
34
Leo Santos
🟨 56'
D
38
Ze Vitor
D
5
Jose Gomes
↓ 83'
D
15
C. Labidi
↓ 83'
M
6
Matheus Dias
↓ 61' 🟨 58'
M
28
Liziero
M
10
Daniel Junior
↓ 90+1'
F
9
J. Ramirez
F
7
Witi
↓ 61' 🟨 50'
F
Substitutes
50
K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
G
2
J. Aurelio
↑ 90+1'
D
19
L. Joao
F
22
F. Soares
↑ 61'
M
30
Watts
M
26
J. Silva
↑ 83' 🟨 90'
M
24
L. Vallier
↑ 83' 🟨 90+4'
D
99
Pablo Ruan
↑ 61'
F
33
C. Goncalves
D
Last matches: Benfica
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Alverca
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Tondela
0
0
D
28.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
4
2
W
25.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Estrela
4
0
W
21.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Juventus
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
2
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
H2H: Benfica vs Nacional
12.04.26
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
W
08.03.25
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
W
19.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
W
11.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
W
25.01.21
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
1
1
D
10.02.19
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
10
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
4
W
05.02.17
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
W
27.08.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
W
15.05.16
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
4
1
W
11.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
4
W
04.04.15
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
1
W
09.11.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
W
17.03.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
2
4
W
Last matches: Benfica
11.05.26
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Alverca
2
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
4
2
W
25.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Estrela
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
22.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
1
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Benfica
Napoli
2
0
W
05.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
2
2
D
05.11.25
UEF
Benfica
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
5
0
W
26.09.25
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
23.09.25
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
1
1
D
16.09.25
UEF
Benfica
Qarabag
2
3
L
12.09.25
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
1
1
D
H2H at home: Benfica
12.04.26
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
08.03.25
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
W
25.01.21
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
1
1
D
10.02.19
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
10
0
W
05.02.17
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
W
15.05.16
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
4
1
W
04.04.15
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
1
W
Last matches: Nacional
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
12.04.26
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
L
25.01.21
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
1
1
D
10.02.19
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
10
0
L
05.02.17
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
L
15.05.16
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
4
1
L
04.04.15
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
1
L

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2