ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Anthony Diaz, Ecuador
Tecnico Universitario
Match Timeline
Macara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
M. Miranda · Assist: D. Bolanos
Macara
61'
F. Posse
Macara
🔄
63'
B. Delgado ↔ H. Guardia
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
65'
M. Viera ↔ A. I. Campana
Macara
🔄
65'
M. Tello ↔ J. Estacio
Macara
🔄
71'
Y. Arce ↔ M. Chaves
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
71'
W. Caicedo ↔ C. Arteaga
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
77'
J. Estacio
Macara
🔄
77'
F. Posse ↔ L. Ferro
Macara
🔄
77'
J. Klinger ↔ J. Mohor
Macara
🟨
78'
L. Estupinan
Tecnico Universitario
🟥
80'
J. Anaya
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
83'
A. Castillo ↔ F. Castillo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
83'
L. Estupinan ↔ R. Chilla
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
86'
S. Mena
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
90+3'
M. Miranda ↔ P. Ramos
Macara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 63.4%
Draw 13.6%
Macara Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario1.1
Macara0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
19 GF / 18 GA
Macara Macara
WLDWL
18 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
8
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
4.29
Shots on Goal
4.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 18 matches
Macara Macara 19 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Macara
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
9 Losses 8
19 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 22
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 6
4.29 Shots On Goal 4.24
12.29 Total Shots 12.29
4.47 Corners 5
40.5% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Tecnico Universitario's more proactive style and Macara's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Macara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Macara having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Macara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Macara. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

So far, Tecnico Universitario have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 17:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Macara Analysis

Macara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 20 points from 16 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 15:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Franco Posse (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Luca Ferro (2 goals), with creative support from Jose Klinger (3 assists), Federico Paz (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 4 times, Macara won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 3-4-3 / Macara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 4, draws 6, Macara wins 5

Lineups

Tecnico Universitario
Formation
Macara
A. Morales
A. Morales
E. E. Mesa Mercado
E. E. Mesa Mercado
J. Anaya
J. Anaya
S. Mena
S. Mena
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
Y. Arce
Y. Arce
J. Majao
J. Majao
A. Castillo
A. Castillo
B. Delgado
B. Delgado
L. Estupinan
L. Estupinan
W. Caicedo
W. Caicedo
R. Rodriguez
R. Rodriguez
D. Bolanos
🎯
D. Bolanos
S. Etchebarne
S. Etchebarne
J. Marrufo
J. Marrufo
M. Ayala
M. Ayala
J. Cazares
J. Cazares
M. Viera
M. Viera
M. Tello
M. Tello
M. Miranda
M. Miranda
J. Klinger
J. Klinger
F. Posse
F. Posse
Tecnico Universitario 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Morales
23
E. E. Mesa Mercado
13
J. Anaya
🟥 80'
5
S. Mena
🟨 86'
16
J. Caicedo
85
Y. Arce
↓ 71'
33
J. Majao
19
A. Castillo
↓ 83'
25
B. Delgado
↓ 63'
7
L. Estupinan
↓ 83' 🟨 78'
90
W. Caicedo
↓ 71'
Substitutes
1
S. Razzeto
30
K. Arce
67
M. A. Carrasco Bonilla
8
M. Chaves
↑ 71'
9
H. Guardia
↑ 63'
11
C. Arteaga
↑ 71'
15
F. Castillo
↑ 83'
77
C. Garcia
53
R. Chilla
↑ 83'
Macara 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
R. Rodriguez
25
D. Bolanos
🎯 30'
21
S. Etchebarne
14
J. Marrufo
13
M. Ayala
16
J. Cazares
20
M. Viera
↓ 65'
15
M. Tello
↓ 65'
10
M. Miranda
⚽ 30' ↓ 90+3'
87
J. Klinger
↓ 77'
9
F. Posse
⚽ 61' ↓ 77'
Substitutes
12
D. Cuero
26
M. Medranda
28
A. I. Campana
↑ 65'
22
L. Ferro
↑ 77'
27
J. Mohor
↑ 77'
50
C. Caicedo
77
J. Chala
5
J. Estacio
↑ 65' 🟨 77'
4
J. Jimenez
19
P. Ramos
↑ 90+3'
3
J. Espinoza
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
19.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
0
1
L
07.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
2
1
W
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
Last matches: Macara
18.07.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
2
L
14.07.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
05.07.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
01.06.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Macara
Emelec
0
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Macara
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Macara
Manta FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Macara
Orense SC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Macara
Libertad
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Macara
Universidad Catolica
0
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Macara
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Macara
Aucas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
18.03.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
H2H: Tecnico Universitario vs Macara
11.07.26
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
08.03.26
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
20.07.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
W
11.02.25
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
01.09.24
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
24.03.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
18.10.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
3
1
W
22.05.22
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
3
1
L
07.11.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
2
0
W
25.05.21
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
18.11.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
1
L
25.08.20
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
23.07.19
H2H
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
L
24.02.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
19.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Tecnico Universitario
11.07.26
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
20.07.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
18.10.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
3
1
W
07.11.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
2
0
W
18.11.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
1
L
24.02.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
Last matches: Macara
18.07.26
Lig
Macara
Delfin SC
1
2
L
01.06.26
Lig
Macara
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Macara
Emelec
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Macara
Manta FC
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Macara
Universidad Catolica
0
4
L
12.04.26
Lig
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Macara
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Macara
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
H2H away: Macara
11.07.26
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
W
20.07.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
0
L
24.03.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
18.10.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
3
1
L
07.11.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
2
0
L
18.11.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
1
W
24.02.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
W

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 1 3 49:20 29 49
W W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:19 3 35
W L W W D
3 20 9 7 4 22:14 8 34
W D D W L
4 20 9 5 6 31:18 13 32
W W L L L
5 20 8 5 7 21:21 0 29
L W W W D
6 20 8 4 8 19:16 3 28
L L D L W
7 20 8 4 8 19:23 -4 28
L D L L W
8 20 7 6 7 21:20 1 27
W D W W D
9 20 7 5 8 18:22 -4 26
W D W L L
10 20 6 6 8 26:30 -4 24
W L L W D
11 20 7 6 7 17:23 -6 24
L W D D W
12 20 7 2 11 19:21 -2 23
L L L W W
13 20 6 5 9 23:28 -5 23
L L D L L
14 20 6 5 9 13:19 -6 23
W W L D L
15 20 5 6 9 18:26 -8 21
L W D L L
16 20 3 4 13 7:25 -18 13
L L D L W
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs