Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.2%
|
1.69 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.10 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Bahia
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
33 matches
Mirassol
38 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 13 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 49 | Goals For | 46 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.24 |
| 14.13 | Total Shots | 12.95 |
| 5.52 | Corners | 5.19 |
| 55.5% | Ball Possession | 49.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bahia's more proactive style and Mirassol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mirassol. Bahia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Bahia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 46 points compared to Mirassol in 15 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bahia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Mirassol in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirassol having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Operating from 5 place with 46 points from 28 games, Bahia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 43:35, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Luciano Juba (8 goals), Everaldo (4 goals), Jean Lucas (3 goals), with creative support from Éverton Ribeiro (4 assists), Rodrigo Nestor (3 assists), Jean Lucas (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Mirassol approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 32 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 33:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Eduardo (5 goals), Igor Formiga (4 goals), Edson (3 goals), with creative support from Igor Formiga (5 assists), Reinaldo (4 assists), Alesson (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 1 times, Mirassol won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Bahia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 32 | 61 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 27 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Mirassol
Away
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|