BRAZIL › SERIE A
01.04.2026 23:00
Arena Fonte Nova
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Bahia
Match Timeline
Atletico Paranaense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
Everaldo · Assist: Jean Lucas
Bahia
🟨
26'
David Duarte
Bahia
⚽
35'
Everaldo · Assist: Luciano Juba
Bahia
🟨
42'
Jádson
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
45+2'
Everaldo
Bahia
VAR
45'
Everaldo
Bahia
🔄
46'
Luiz Gustavo ↔ J. Portilla
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
C. Teran ↔ Leo Derik
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
Julimar ↔ B. Zapelli
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
60'
Caio Alexandre ↔ Erick
Bahia
🔄
66'
Jadson ↔ Joao Cruz
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
68'
Erick Pulga ↔ Ademir
Bahia
🔄
68'
Everton Ribeiro ↔ Michel Araujo
Bahia
🔄
78'
Dudu Kogitzki ↔ Bruninho
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
85'
Everaldo ↔ Willian Jose
Bahia
🔄
85'
C. Olivera ↔ Iago Borduchi
Bahia
🟨
90'
Gastón Benavídez
Atletico Paranaense
⚽
90'
Luciano Juba
Bahia

Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.13
Atletico Paranaense1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 9 matches
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 8 matches
Bahia Statistic Atletico Paranaense
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 14
9 Goals Against 8
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.5
11.56 Total Shots 10.5
5.56 Corners 4.63
53.9% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 5 times, Atletico Paranaense won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Bahia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Bahia 4, Atletico Paranaense 2
H2H summary: Bahia wins 5, draws 3, Atletico Paranaense wins 7

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5
Bahia Home
28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B