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BRAZIL › SERIE A
02.12.2026 21:00
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.31
Atletico-MG1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
50 GF / 44 GA
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WLDWL
42 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
21
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
15
4.55
Shots on Goal
4.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 35 matches
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 31 matches
Bahia Statistic Atletico-MG
15 Wins 14
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 9
50 Goals For 42
44 Goals Against 35
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
21 BTTS Yes 15
28 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 9
4.55 Shots On Goal 4.97
14.03 Total Shots 14
5.48 Corners 5.32
54.8% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 6 times, Atletico-MG won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 6, draws 4, Atletico-MG wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 20 7 4 61:25 36 67
W W D W W
2 31 19 9 3 54:22 32 66
W W W D W
3 31 15 8 8 49:37 12 53
L W D W D
4 31 15 6 10 50:46 4 51
W L W W L
5 31 14 9 8 49:39 10 51
L L W W L
6 31 14 8 9 42:35 7 50
W W D W D
7
Bahia Home
31 13 10 8 44:39 5 49
L W L L W
8 31 12 9 10 48:46 2 45
W L D W W
9 31 12 6 13 36:35 1 42
W W L L W
10 31 11 8 12 39:36 3 41
D W D L L
11 31 10 9 12 44:48 -4 39
W D L L W
12 31 10 9 12 38:49 -11 39
L D L L D
13 31 10 7 14 34:45 -11 37
D L W L D
14 31 9 9 13 36:44 -8 36
W L D W D
15 30 9 8 13 36:43 -7 35
L D W W W
16 31 8 9 14 32:39 -7 33
D L L L L
17 31 7 11 13 33:40 -7 32
L D W L W
18 31 7 10 14 34:44 -10 31
L D D D L
19 31 5 11 15 34:49 -15 26
D D D L L
20 30 3 9 18 30:62 -32 18
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B