Bahia vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.39
Atletico-MG1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia
WWDLW
49 GF / 40 GA
Atletico-MG
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
21
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
13
4.8
Shots on Goal
4.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
32 matches
Atletico-MG
27 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 49 | Goals For | 36 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.8 | Shots On Goal | 4.7 |
| 14.27 | Total Shots | 13.63 |
| 5.6 | Corners | 5 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 6 times, Atletico-MG won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 6, draws 4, Atletico-MG wins 5
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Bahia
Home
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B