BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: M. de Lima
Avai
Match Timeline
Ponte Preta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Luiz Henrique
Avai
38'
Jean Lucas · Assist: Thayllon
Avai
45'
Willian Pottker
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Romildo Del Piage ↔ Cristiano
Avai
🔄
46'
R. A. Saravia Salvia ↔ Luis Phelipe
Ponte Preta
🔄
57'
Walace Franca ↔ F. Avenatti
Avai
60'
William Pottker
Ponte Preta
60'
Diego Tavares
Ponte Preta
🔄
62'
Jean Lucas ↔ Sorriso
Avai
🟨
69'
Bryan Borges
Ponte Preta
🔄
75'
Willian Pottker ↔ Rodriguinho
Ponte Preta
🟨
77'
Thayllon Roberth
Avai
🔄
77'
Thayllon ↔ Isaias
Avai
🔄
77'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Jamerson
Avai
🟨
79'
Sorriso
Avai
🟨
82'
Thalys
Ponte Preta
🔄
84'
Diego Tavares ↔ Brandao
Ponte Preta
🔄
85'
Bryan Borges ↔ Rodrigo Souza
Ponte Preta
🔄
89'
Kevyson ↔ Danilo Barcelos
Ponte Preta
🟨
90+5'
Wallison
Avai

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 90.9%
Draw 0%
Ponte Preta Win 9.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.25
Ponte Preta0.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 4 matches
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 4 matches
Avai Statistic Ponte Preta
2 Wins 0
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 3
5 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 5
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 4
15 Total Shots 10
6.25 Corners 4.75
43.8% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Avai's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ponte Preta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Avai arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 8 points compared to Ponte Preta in 19 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Avai Analysis

Avai arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 8 points after 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, while the 5:2 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Walace Franca (2 goals), F. Avenatti (1 goals), Luiz Henrique (1 goals), with creative support from Allyson (1 assists), Thayllon (1 assists), Zé Ricardo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta sit 19 with 1 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 2:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bryan Borges (1 goals), Luis Phelipe (1 goals), with creative support from Brandao (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 5 times, Ponte Preta won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Avai's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Ponte Preta 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 5, draws 5, Ponte Preta wins 5
Stats
Avai Avai
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 4
16 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 8
6 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
471 Total passes 306
399 Passes accurate 222
0.65 expected_goals 2.33
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
Ponte Preta
Leo Aragao
Leo Aragao
Wallison
Wallison
Allyson
Allyson
Bruno Baldini
Bruno Baldini
Quaresma
Quaresma
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Romildo Del Piage
Romildo Del Piage
Thayllon
🎯
Thayllon
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Walace Franca
Walace Franca
Diogo Silva
Diogo Silva
Thalys
Thalys
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Marcio Silva
Marcio Silva
Kevyson
Kevyson
Murilo
Murilo
Andre Lima
Andre Lima
R. A. Saravia Salvia
R. A. Saravia Salvia
Diego Tavares
Diego Tavares
Bryan Borges
Bryan Borges
Willian Pottker
⚽ 2
Willian Pottker
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
Leo Aragao
G
2
Wallison
🟨 90+5'
D
3
Allyson
D
55
Bruno Baldini
D
66
Quaresma
D
25
Paulo Vitor
M
5
Romildo Del Piage
↓ 46'
M
43
Thayllon
🎯 38' ↓ 77' 🟨 77'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
↓ 77' 🟨 34'
M
10
Jean Lucas
⚽ 38' ↓ 62'
M
57
Walace Franca
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
1
Igor Bohn
G
30
Cristiano
↑ 46'
F
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
50
Joao Maistro
D
4
Gabriel Simples
D
18
Hyan
M
15
Guilherme Aquino
D
20
Isaias
↑ 77'
F
11
Sorriso
↑ 62' 🟨 79'
F
9
F. Avenatti
↑ 57'
F
6
N. Cabral
D
16
Jamerson
↑ 77'
M
Ponte Preta 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
12
Diogo Silva
G
22
Thalys
🟨 82'
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
44
Marcio Silva
D
32
Kevyson
↓ 89'
D
20
Murilo
M
8
Andre Lima
M
6
R. A. Saravia Salvia
↓ 46'
M
7
Diego Tavares
⚽ 60' ↓ 84'
31
Bryan Borges
↓ 85' 🟨 69'
M
9
Willian Pottker
⚽ 45' ⚽ 60' ↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
30
Guilherme Viana
26
Baianinho
F
16
Leo Gomes
M
11
Luis Phelipe
↑ 46'
F
90
Rodriguinho
↑ 75'
F
15
Weverton
D
99
Brandao
↑ 84'
F
17
Miguel Morais
M
5
Rodrigo Souza
↑ 85'
M
14
Danilo Barcelos
↑ 89'
D
2
Lucas Justen
D
Last matches: Avai
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: Ponte Preta
22.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
2
3
L
18.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
2
L
H2H: Avai vs Ponte Preta
18.04.26
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
22.11.24
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Avai
1
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Ponte Preta
Avai
0
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.10.21
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
06.07.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Avai
0
0
D
11.12.20
H2H
Ponte Preta
Avai
1
2
W
11.09.20
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
24.11.18
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
04.08.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
2
D
22.10.17
H2H
Ponte Preta
Avai
1
2
W
02.07.17
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
28.11.15
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
13.08.15
H2H
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
0
L
Last matches: Avai
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
18.04.26
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
22.11.24
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.10.21
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
11.09.20
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
24.11.18
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
02.07.17
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
28.11.15
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
Last matches: Ponte Preta
22.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
2
3
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
2
L
H2H away: Ponte Preta
18.04.26
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
W
22.11.24
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
2
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
1
W
05.10.21
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
11.09.20
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
1
W
24.11.18
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
02.07.17
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
28.11.15
H2H
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17
Avai Home
19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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