BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil
Avai
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
42'
Daniel Penha
Avai
🟥
44'
Daniel Penha
Avai
🔄
46'
Sorriso ↔ Walace Franca
Avai
🔄
46'
Rafael Bilu ↔ Thayllon
Avai
🔄
46'
Baldoria ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
46'
Jean Carlos ↔ E. Garcia
Goias
🟨
47'
Nicolas
Goias
🔄
54'
Nicolas ↔ Djalma Silva
Goias
🔄
68'
Kadu ↔ Bruno Savio
Goias
🔄
70'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Jean Lucas
Avai
71'
Bruno Savio · Assist: E. Garcia
Goias
🟨
73'
Lucas Lima
Goias
🟨
75'
Jean Lucas
Avai
78'
Anselmo Ramon · Assist: Diego Caito
Goias
🔄
80'
Ze Ricardo ↔ Wenderson
Avai
🔄
80'
Quaresma ↔ Wallison
Avai
🔄
80'
Gege ↔ Juninho
Goias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 67%
Draw 0%
Goias Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.2
Goias1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
10 GF / 11 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
9 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
3.44
Shots on Goal
2.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 9 matches
Goias Goias 9 matches
Avai Statistic Goias
2 Wins 4
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
10 Goals For 9
11 Goals Against 12
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
3.44 Shots On Goal 2.56
12 Total Shots 9.56
4.11 Corners 3.44
51.1% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Goias carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 13 points while Avai sit 15 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Goias. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Goias in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control.

Avai Analysis

Avai sit 15 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 10:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Walace Franca (3 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), F. Avenatti (1 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (1 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

With 13 points from 9 games and a place of 6, Goias still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 9:12 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Anselmo Ramon (3 goals), Gege (2 goals), Cadu (1 goals), with creative support from Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), E. Garcia (1 assists), Diego Caito (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 5 times, Goias won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Goias 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Avai wins 5, draws 3, Goias wins 7
Stats
Avai Avai
Goias Goias
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 5
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 8
2 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 2
3 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
340 Total passes 626
278 Passes accurate 549
0.52 expected_goals 1.63
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
Goias
Leo Aragao
Leo Aragao
Wesley Gasolina
Wesley Gasolina
Allyson
Allyson
Bruno Baldini
Bruno Baldini
Quaresma
Quaresma
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Daniel Penha
Daniel Penha
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Sorriso
Sorriso
Rafael Bilu
Rafael Bilu
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Diego Caito
🎯
Diego Caito
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro
Ramon Menezes
Ramon Menezes
Nicolas
Nicolas
Luquinhas
Luquinhas
Baldoria
Baldoria
Gege
Gege
Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Kadu
Kadu
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
Leo Aragao
G
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
3
Allyson
D
55
Bruno Baldini
D
66
Quaresma
↓ 80'
D
25
Paulo Vitor
M
77
Ze Ricardo
↓ 80'
M
14
Daniel Penha
🟥 44'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
↓ 70'
M
11
Sorriso
↓ 46'
M
7
Rafael Bilu
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
21
Otavio Passos
G
30
Cristiano
F
95
Wenderson
↑ 80'
M
2
Wallison
↑ 80'
D
4
Gabriel Simples
D
18
Hyan
M
20
Isaias
F
10
Jean Lucas
↑ 70' 🟨 75'
M
6
N. Cabral
D
57
Walace Franca
↑ 46'
F
43
Thayllon
↑ 46'
F
16
Jamerson
M
Goias 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
20
Diego Caito
🎯 78'
D
14
Lucas Ribeiro
D
4
Ramon Menezes
D
6
Nicolas
↓ 54' 🟨 47'
D
35
Luquinhas
M
55
Baldoria
↓ 46'
M
28
Gege
↓ 80'
M
10
Lucas Lima
🟨 73'
M
21
Jean Carlos
↓ 46'
40
Kadu
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
32
Murillo
G
9
Anselmo Ramon
⚽ 78' ↑ 46'
F
3
Luiz Felipe
D
11
Bruno Savio
⚽ 71' ↑ 68'
F
2
Rodrigo Soares
D
54
Djalma Silva
↑ 54'
D
17
Pedrinho
F
88
Brayann
M
8
Juninho
↑ 80'
M
15
E. Garcia
🎯 71' ↑ 46'
F
25
Luisao
D
Last matches: Avai
11.08.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
28.07.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: Goias
10.08.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H: Avai vs Goias
24.05.26
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
07.09.25
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
1
W
05.05.25
H2H
Goias
Avai
2
1
L
14.09.24
H2H
Goias
Avai
2
1
L
28.05.24
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
0
W
13.08.22
H2H
Goias
Avai
1
1
D
25.04.22
H2H
Avai
Goias
3
2
W
21.09.21
H2H
Avai
Goias
1
0
W
22.06.21
H2H
Goias
Avai
3
0
L
03.11.19
H2H
Goias
Avai
2
0
L
21.07.19
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
0
D
27.10.18
H2H
Goias
Avai
0
3
W
04.07.18
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
1
L
18.04.18
H2H
Goias
Avai
2
0
L
11.04.18
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
2
D
Last matches: Avai
11.08.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
24.05.26
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
07.09.25
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
1
W
28.05.24
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
0
W
25.04.22
H2H
Avai
Goias
3
2
W
21.09.21
H2H
Avai
Goias
1
0
W
21.07.19
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
0
D
04.07.18
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
1
L
11.04.18
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
2
D
Last matches: Goias
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
H2H away: Goias
24.05.26
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
2
W
07.09.25
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
1
L
28.05.24
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
0
L
25.04.22
H2H
Avai
Goias
3
2
L
21.09.21
H2H
Avai
Goias
1
0
L
21.07.19
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
0
D
04.07.18
H2H
Avai
Goias
0
1
W
11.04.18
H2H
Avai
Goias
2
2
D