BRAZIL SERIE B
30.05.2026 19:00
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: R. Pereira
Avai
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
R. Otero
Criciuma
46'
Fellipe Mateus
Criciuma
49'
Paulo Vitor · Assist: DG
Avai
🔄
55'
DG ↔ Wallison
Avai
🟨
64'
Rómulo Otero
Criciuma
🔄
67'
Gui Lobo ↔ Jean Irmer
Criciuma
🔄
67'
R. Otero ↔ Joao Carlos
Criciuma
🟨
69'
Gabriel Pereira Simples
Avai
🔄
76'
Eduardo ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma
🔄
76'
Waguininho ↔ Nicolas
Criciuma
🔄
79'
Wenderson ↔ Hyan
Avai
🔄
79'
Walace Franca ↔ Isaias
Avai
🔄
79'
Sorriso ↔ Jamerson
Avai
🟨
81'
João Carlos
Criciuma
🟨
83'
Wesley Gasolina
Avai
🔄
90+2'
↔ C. Brazil
Avai
🔄
90+5'
↔ Thiaguinho
Criciuma

Avai vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 39.2%
Draw 15.9%
Criciuma Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai0.96
Criciuma1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
2
3.4
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 10 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 10 matches
Avai Statistic Criciuma
2 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
10 Goals For 11
13 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
4 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
3.4 Shots On Goal 3.7
11.5 Total Shots 12.9
3.8 Corners 6.2
49.5% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Criciuma's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Criciuma. Avai have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Walace Franca (3 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), F. Avenatti (1 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (1 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Criciuma have collected 13 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:8 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Nicolas (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), Rómulo Otero (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 3 times, Criciuma won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 3, draws 4, Criciuma wins 8

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 7 5 26:13 13 46
D W W D W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16
Avai Home
25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 25 5 7 13 29:36 -7 22
D L D L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation