Login Register
11.10.2026 21:15
Felix Capriles
Referee: M. Lopez
Aurora
Match Timeline
Nacional Potosí
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
A. Terrazas
Aurora
🟨
21'
P. Azogue
Nacional Potosí
⚽
36'
P. Azogue · Assist: A. Torrico
Nacional Potosí
VAR
45+9'
Wilson Álvarez
Nacional Potosí
🟨
45+14'
leandro barro
Aurora
⚽
45'
M. Tomianovic
Nacional Potosí
🔄
46'
M. Rangel ↔ H. Mojica
Aurora
🔄
46'
H. Sanchez ↔ E. Sanchez
Aurora
🔄
46'
I. Huayhuata ↔ I. Vidaurre
Aurora
🔄
59'
A. Terrazas ↔ H. Vaca
Aurora
🔄
61'
S. Pena ↔ Weslen Junior
Nacional Potosí
🟨
69'
Óscar Damián Villalba
Nacional Potosí
⚽
69'
R. Ramallo
Aurora
🟨
73'
Weslen Junior
Nacional Potosí
🟨
75'
Harrison Mojica
Aurora
🟨
79'
Jair Torrico
Aurora
🔄
82'
D. Hoyos ↔ O. Baldomar
Nacional Potosí
🔄
82'
↔ T. Tobar
Nacional Potosí
🔄
89'
↔ M. Velazco
Aurora
🔄
89'
M. Nunez ↔ J. Orellana
Nacional Potosí
🔄
89'
M. Tomianovic ↔ Juan Batista
Nacional Potosí
🟨
90+4'
Juan Batista
Nacional Potosí

Aurora vs Nacional Potosí Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
1.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
66.8%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.56 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.33 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Aurora Win 64.2%
Draw 6.1%
Nacional Potosí Win 29.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aurora1.51
Nacional Potosí1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aurora Aurora
WWDLW
34 GF / 32 GA
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí
WLDWL
34 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
15
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
13
3.85
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aurora Aurora 22 matches
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí 24 matches
Aurora Statistic Nacional Potosí
7 Wins 10
10 Draws 3
5 Losses 11
34 Goals For 34
32 Goals Against 35
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 4
3.85 Shots On Goal 3.36
9.75 Total Shots 9.18
3.25 Corners 2.73
38% Ball Possession 37.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nacional Potosí. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aurora expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nacional Potosí in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nacional Potosí having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Aurora Analysis

Aurora are currently 6 in the standings with 30 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 31:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Ramallo (5 goals), M. Rangel (4 goals), J. Sánchez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Ramallo (4 assists), L. Viviani (2 assists), M. Ortiz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Nacional Potosí Analysis

Nacional Potosí are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, while the 30:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Tobar (2 goals), D. Villalba (2 goals), A. Torrico (1 goals), with creative support from M. Núñez (3 assists), A. Torrico (1 assists), N. Amarilla (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aurora won 3 times, Nacional Potosí won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Aurora's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Aurora 4-2-3-1 / Nacional Potosí 4-4-2
H2H summary: Aurora wins 3, draws 4, Nacional Potosí wins 8

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 6 1 49:13 36 48
W W W W D
2 21 15 3 3 55:22 33 48
W W W W W
3 21 12 6 3 39:23 16 42
L W W W W
4 21 9 8 4 28:14 14 35
W W W D L
5 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
6 21 7 10 4 33:29 4 31
D L W W D
7 21 8 5 8 33:43 -10 29
L W L D L
8 21 8 4 9 32:30 2 28
D L W W L
9 21 6 9 6 30:23 7 27
L D W L D
10 21 7 4 10 27:37 -10 25
L L L L W
11 21 7 3 11 35:51 -16 24
W L L W D
12 21 6 3 12 21:40 -19 21
D W L L L
13 21 6 2 13 31:46 -15 20
L L L W L
14 21 5 3 13 27:42 -15 18
L D W L W
15 21 3 8 10 25:38 -13 17
W L L L D
16 21 4 5 12 15:39 -24 17
D L L L W