05.09.2026 21:15
Referee: G. Mendoza
Aurora
Match Timeline
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
M. Rangel · Assist: L. Viviani
Aurora
9'
M. Rangel · Assist: J. Torrico
Aurora
14'
J. Lencinas
Aurora
VAR
17'
Joaquín Lencinas
Aurora
🟨
30'
Santiago Pinto Soliz
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
🟨
40'
Luis Barboza
Aurora
🔄
46'
S. Pinto ↔ S. Villarroel
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
🔄
46'
G. Vaca ↔ S. Galindo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
🔄
46'
Matheus Moresche ↔ R. Orihuela
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
🔄
57'
R. Monteiro ↔ R. Ferrufino
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
🟨
61'
Alan Terrazas
Aurora
🔄
61'
L. Barro ↔ S. Altamirano
Aurora
🔄
62'
M. Rangel ↔ H. Mojica
Aurora
🔄
62'
A. Amarilla ↔ H. Sanchez
Aurora
🔄
62'
A. Terrazas ↔ H. Vaca
Aurora
🔄
74'
C. Ribera ↔ J. Goyeneche
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
🟨
80'
Sebastian Galindo Novillo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
🔄
85'
R. Ramallo ↔ A. Pacheco
Aurora

Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.8%
1.56
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.54
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.09
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Aurora Win 68.8%
Draw 6.9%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aurora1.56
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aurora Aurora
WWDLW
28 GF / 29 GA
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
WLDWL
25 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
14
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
12
2.88
Shots on Goal
1.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aurora Aurora 19 matches
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 20 matches
Aurora Statistic Gualberto Villarroel SJ
5 Wins 3
10 Draws 9
4 Losses 8
28 Goals For 25
29 Goals Against 34
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
14 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
2.88 Shots On Goal 1.71
7.47 Total Shots 6.94
2.53 Corners 1.65
30.9% Ball Possession 25.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Aurora's more proactive style and Gualberto Villarroel SJ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aurora expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Gualberto Villarroel SJ in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gualberto Villarroel SJ having the stronger overall control. Aurora arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 24 points compared to Gualberto Villarroel SJ in 15 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Aurora Analysis

So far, Aurora have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 17 matches. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 25:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ Analysis

Gualberto Villarroel SJ sit 15 with 14 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Aurora won 2 times, Gualberto Villarroel SJ won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Aurora's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Aurora 4-3-3 / Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aurora wins 2, draws 5, Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D