30.08.2026 00:30
Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
Referee: S. Martinez
Atletico Tucuman
Match Timeline
Belgrano Cordoba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
R. Hernandes
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
57'
F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
64'
N. Fernandez ↔ L. Passerini
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
71'
R. Tesuri ↔ R. Ruiz
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
77'
E. Rigoni ↔ J. Velazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
78'
N. Franco ↔ E. Ham
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
78'
L. Diaz ↔ M. Brondo
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
80'
N. Lamendola
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
83'
A. J. Benitez Cabrera
Belgrano Cordoba

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52%
Odds 3.33
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52%
3.33
BTTS No
71.7%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.41
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.45
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Atletico Tucuman Win 30.4%
Draw 17.6%
Belgrano Cordoba Win 52%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Tucuman0.99
Belgrano Cordoba1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WLDWL
36 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
11
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
11
3.45
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 25 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 29 matches
Atletico Tucuman Statistic Belgrano Cordoba
8 Wins 14
8 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
28 Goals For 36
23 Goals Against 23
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
11 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 14
7 Failed To Score 8
3.45 Shots On Goal 3.77
11.82 Total Shots 12.23
5.32 Corners 3.69
46% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Belgrano Cordoba's more proactive style and Atletico Tucuman's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Tucuman expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Belgrano Cordoba in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Belgrano Cordoba having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Belgrano Cordoba. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Belgrano Cordoba carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 26 points while Atletico Tucuman sit 13 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Atletico Tucuman Analysis

Atletico Tucuman are currently 13 in the standings with 14 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 15:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Díaz (2 goals), Clever Ferreira (1 goals), Franco Nicola (1 goals), with creative support from Clever Ferreira (1 assists), Luis Ingolotti (1 assists), Maximiliano Villa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Belgrano Cordoba approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 26 points after 16 outings. With 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Nicolás Fernández (4 goals), Francisco González Metilli (3 goals), Lucas Zelarayán (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Passerini (3 assists), Nicolás Fernández (2 assists), Lucas Zelarayán (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Tucuman won 1 times, Belgrano Cordoba won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Atletico Tucuman's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1 / Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Tucuman wins 1, draws 3, Belgrano Cordoba wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase