Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Paranaense
15 matches
Flamengo
17 matches
| Atletico Paranaense | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 11 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 2 |
| 20 | Goals For | 34 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.73 | Shots On Goal | 5.53 |
| 11.53 | Total Shots | 14.65 |
| 4.53 | Corners | 4.06 |
| 48.7% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Paranaense expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Flamengo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Flamengo having the stronger overall control. Flamengo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Atletico Paranaense sit 5 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flamengo.
Placed 5 with 23 points from 15 outings, Atletico Paranaense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Viveros (8 goals), S. Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from G. Benavidez (4 assists), L. Esquivel (3 assists), Joao Cruz (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 14 games, Flamengo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Pedro (8 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (5 assists), Pedro (3 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 4 times, Flamengo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Atletico Paranaense
5
3
7
5
6
4
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Away
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Paranaense
Home
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|