Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Paranaense1.36
Atletico-MG1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Paranaense
WWDLW
44 GF / 35 GA
Atletico-MG
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
4.93
Shots on Goal
4.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Paranaense
30 matches
Atletico-MG
27 matches
| Atletico Paranaense | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 44 | Goals For | 36 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.93 | Shots On Goal | 4.7 |
| 12.29 | Total Shots | 13.63 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 5.04 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 4 times, Atletico-MG won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:22 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1 / Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Paranaense wins 4, draws 1, Atletico-MG wins 10
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Home
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B