CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
TD Place Stadium
Referee: M. Souare
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
J. Alphonse
HFX Wanderers FC
39'
M. Arilla · Assist: L. Callegari
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
53'
S. Zitman
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
56'
L. Olguin
HFX Wanderers FC
62'
E. Garcia · Assist: T. Arnaud
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
64'
S. Zitman ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
64'
M. Arilla ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
72'
J. Castro ↔ D. Gutierrez
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
72'
T. Arnaud ↔ J. Assi
Atlético Ottawa
79'
B. Tabla · Assist: G. Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
80'
J. Bahamboula ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
81'
L. Olguin ↔ A. Reid
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
88'
E. Garcia ↔ J. Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
88'
B. Tabla ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+1'
K. Sow
HFX Wanderers FC
90+4'
N. Fleuriau Chateau · Assist: N. Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+6'
L. Cloutier
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+4'
G. Antinoro ↔ J. Dunn
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90'
J. Alphonse ↔ K. Sow
HFX Wanderers FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 69.6%
Draw 5.8%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa1.37
HFX Wanderers FC1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
23 GF / 35 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.18
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
11
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
1.71
Shots on Goal
1.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 17 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 17 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
23 Goals For 20
35 Goals Against 24
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
11 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 5
1.71 Shots On Goal 1.94
5 Total Shots 5.19
2 Corners 2.56
31.1% Ball Possession 27.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlético Ottawa expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and HFX Wanderers FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring HFX Wanderers FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 21 points from 14 games, Atlético Ottawa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 16 points after 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 20:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 8 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 3-4-2-1 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 8, draws 4, HFX Wanderers FC wins 3

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
Formation
HFX Wanderers FC
C. Kalongo
C. Kalongo
R. Mbomio
R. Mbomio
L. Cloutier
L. Cloutier
D. Aguilar
D. Aguilar
T. Arnaud
🎯
T. Arnaud
J. Castro
J. Castro
M. Aparicio
M. Aparicio
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
G. Antinoro
🎯
G. Antinoro
N. Fleuriau Chateau
🎯
N. Fleuriau Chateau
B. Tabla
B. Tabla
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
F. Linder
F. Linder
R. Telfer
R. Telfer
L. Callegari
🎯
L. Callegari
L. Olguin
L. Olguin
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
J. Bahamboula
J. Bahamboula
M. Arilla
M. Arilla
Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
C. Kalongo
18
R. Mbomio
28
L. Cloutier
🟨 90+6'
5
D. Aguilar
37
T. Arnaud
🎯 62' ↓ 72'
2
J. Castro
↓ 72'
10
M. Aparicio
7
E. Garcia
⚽ 62' ↓ 88'
11
G. Antinoro
🎯 79' ↓ 90+4'
21
N. Fleuriau Chateau
⚽ 90+4' 🎯 90+4'
13
B. Tabla
⚽ 79' ↓ 88'
Substitutes
1
T. Crampton
6
D. Gutierrez
↑ 72'
20
J. Coulanges
↑ 88'
3
J. Dunn
↑ 90+4'
30
K. Habibullah
↑ 88'
14
J. Assi
↑ 72'
27
W. Timoteo
HFX Wanderers FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
21
J. Alphonse
↓ 90' 🟨 35'
26
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
2
F. Linder
7
R. Telfer
6
L. Callegari
🎯 39'
5
L. Olguin
↓ 81' 🟨 56'
22
S. Zitman
↓ 64' 🟨 53'
8
I. Johnston
14
J. Bahamboula
↓ 80'
23
M. Arilla
⚽ 39' ↓ 64'
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
11
A. Reid
↑ 81'
18
A. Rampersad
↑ 64'
16
K. Sow
↑ 90' 🟨 90+1'
20
T. Ciccarelli
↑ 80'
17
F. Troisi
↑ 64'
33
I. A. Hassan
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
22.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
19.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
4
0
W
16.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
01.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
22.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
16.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
3
4
L
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H: Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W
18.07.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
24.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
24.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.04.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
18.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
2
L
23.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
L
03.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
19.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
19.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
4
0
W
26.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Ottawa
08.08.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
18.07.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
03.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
16.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
3
4
L
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
H2H away: HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
18.07.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
03.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 2 3 29:13 16 41
W W L L D
2 18 12 4 2 36:11 25 40
W W D W W
3 19 9 3 7 32:33 -1 30
L W W W L
4 19 8 3 8 26:22 4 27
L L D W W
5 19 5 5 9 25:30 -5 20
W L L D L
6 18 5 4 9 26:33 -7 19
D L L D W
7 16 4 6 6 21:35 -14 18
D W D L L
8 17 0 5 12 18:36 -18 5
L D D L L