Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
53.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
31 matches
Deportivo Cali
25 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 10 |
| 1 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 7 |
| 56 | Goals For | 28 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 4.04 |
| 16.32 | Total Shots | 12.65 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 56.9% | Ball Possession | 50.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Nacional expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Cali in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cali having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Nacional arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Deportivo Cali in 9 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Cali.
Atletico Nacional come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 19 matches. The return of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 35:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Alfredo Morelos (1 goals), Marlos Moreno (1 goals), Andrés Sarmiento (1 goals), with creative support from Alfredo Morelos (1 assists), Matheus Uribe (1 assists), Andrés Román (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
From their first 19 matches, Deportivo Cali have collected 27 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Steven Rodríguez (2 goals), Johan Martínez (1 goals), Eduard Bello (1 goals), with creative support from Johan Martínez (2 assists), Gustavo Cuéllar (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 4 times, Deportivo Cali won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Deportivo Cali
Away
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|