Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vitoria Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.34
Vitoria1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Vitoria
WLDWL
22 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
4.25
Shots on Goal
4.14
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
20 matches
Vitoria
21 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 22 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 4.14 |
| 12.65 | Total Shots | 10.95 |
| 4.65 | Corners | 4.19 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 4 times, Vitoria won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1 / Vitoria 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 4, draws 5, Vitoria wins 6
Last matches: Atletico-MG
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Vitoria
30.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
0
4
L
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Vitoria
14.03.26
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
31.08.25
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
05.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
20.06.24
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
4
2
L
26.08.18
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
22.04.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
1
W
24.09.17
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
1
3
L
11.06.17
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
07.09.16
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
1
W
29.05.16
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
28.09.14
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
0
W
23.05.14
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
3
W
08.12.13
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.09.13
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
13.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
05.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
22.04.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
1
W
24.09.17
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
1
3
L
07.09.16
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
1
W
28.09.14
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
0
W
08.12.13
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
Last matches: Vitoria
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
H2H away: Vitoria
13.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
05.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
22.04.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
1
L
24.09.17
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
1
3
W
07.09.16
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
1
L
28.09.14
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
0
L
08.12.13
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
2
2
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Away
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
?
|
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation