Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vasco DA Gama Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.36
Vasco DA Gama1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
23 GF / 24 GA
Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
8
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
11
4.26
Shots on Goal
5.37
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
19 matches
Vasco DA Gama
19 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.26 | Shots On Goal | 5.37 |
| 12.84 | Total Shots | 17.47 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 45.7% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 6 times, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1 / Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 6, draws 3, Vasco DA Gama wins 6
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama
31.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
5
0
W
10.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
21.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
24.01.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
3
2
L
04.10.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
02.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
02.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
2
W
23.08.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
15.04.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
07.12.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
5
0
W
02.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
21.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
04.10.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
02.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
23.08.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H away: Vasco DA Gama
07.12.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
5
0
L
02.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
04.10.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
L
02.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
23.08.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 33:14 | 19 | 44 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:16 | 19 | 37 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | -3 | 27 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17:39 | -22 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B