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BRAZIL › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Atletico-MG
FT
1 - 0
Sao Paulo
MRV Arena
Referee: F. Mendes
Atletico-MG
Match Timeline
Sao Paulo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
61'
Andre Silva ↔ Luciano
Sao Paulo
🔄
61'
Cauly ↔ Lucas Moura
Sao Paulo
🔄
64'
T. Perez ↔ Bernard
Atletico-MG
⚽
64'
I. Roman · Assist: A. Franco
Atletico-MG
🟨
71'
Iván Román
Atletico-MG
🔄
74'
↔ G. Tapia
Sao Paulo
🔄
75'
M. Cassierra ↔ Dudu
Atletico-MG
🔄
83'
Maik ↔ C. Soares
Sao Paulo
🔄
83'
Danielzinho ↔ Ferreira
Sao Paulo
🔄
87'
Cuello ↔ Lyanco
Atletico-MG
🟨
90+4'
Enzo Díaz
Sao Paulo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG0.9
Sao Paulo1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WLDWL
10 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
3.33
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 6 matches
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 6 matches
Atletico-MG Statistic Sao Paulo
1 Wins 5
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
7 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 3
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
3.33 Shots On Goal 4.33
11.83 Total Shots 11.33
6.33 Corners 5.17
50.3% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 7 times, Sao Paulo won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-4-2 / Sao Paulo 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 7, draws 6, Sao Paulo wins 2
Stats
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 1
16 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 0
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 8
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
239 Total passes 584
175 Passes accurate 515
1.07 expected_goals 0.58
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atletico-MG
Formation
Sao Paulo
Everson
Everson
A. Preciado
A. Preciado
I. Roman
⚽
I. Roman
J. Alonso
J. Alonso
R. Lodi
R. Lodi
A. Franco
🎯
A. Franco
T. Perez
↓
T. Perez
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
Cuello
↓
Cuello
Hulk
Hulk
M. Cassierra
↓
M. Cassierra
Rafael
Rafael
Maik
↓
Maik
A. Franco
A. Franco
Sabino
Sabino
E. Diaz
E. Diaz
D. Bobadilla
D. Bobadilla
Danielzinho
↓
Danielzinho
Marcos Antonio
Marcos Antonio
Cauly
↓
Cauly
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri
Andre Silva
↓
Andre Silva
Atletico-MG 4-4-2
Starting XI
22
Everson
G
23
A. Preciado
D
3
I. Roman
⚽ 64' 🟨 71'
D
6
J. Alonso
D
16
R. Lodi
D
21
A. Franco
🎯 64'
M
25
T. Perez
↓ 64'
M
30
Victor Hugo
M
28
Cuello
↓ 87'
M
7
Hulk
F
9
M. Cassierra
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
11
Bernard
↑ 64'
M
19
Reinier
M
2
Natanael
D
20
Patrick Silva
M
40
Vitao
D
92
Dudu
↑ 75'
F
10
Gustavo Scarpa
M
13
Lyanco
↑ 87'
D
17
Igor Gomes
M
27
A. Minda
F
36
K. Pascini
D
Sao Paulo 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
23
Rafael
G
42
Maik
↓ 83'
D
28
A. Franco
D
35
Sabino
D
13
E. Diaz
🟨 90+4'
D
16
D. Bobadilla
M
94
Danielzinho
↓ 83'
M
8
Marcos Antonio
M
80
Cauly
↓ 61'
M
9
Jonathan Calleri
F
17
Andre Silva
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
31
Carlos Coronel
G
2
R. Toloi
D
21
C. Soares
↑ 83'
D
4
Matheus Doria
D
5
Robert Arboleda
D
10
Luciano
↑ 61'
F
11
Ferreira
↑ 83'
F
33
Luan Silva
M
7
Lucas Moura
↑ 61'
F
18
Wendell
D
14
G. Tapia
↑ 74'
F
29
Pablo Maia
M
Last matches: Atletico-MG
08.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Sao Paulo
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
18.03.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
13.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
29.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
12.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
03.12.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
06.08.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
2
W
02.11.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
10.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
13.06.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
17.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
3
0
L
03.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
18.03.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
13.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
12.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
03.12.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
10.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
13.06.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
03.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
18.03.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
13.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
12.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
03.12.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
10.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
13.06.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
03.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
3
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Palmeiras
22 14 6 2 38:16 22 48
D W L W W
2
Flamengo
21 12 6 3 39:18 21 42
W D D W W
3
Atletico Paranaense
22 12 4 6 30:19 11 40
W D W W W
4
Fluminense
22 9 8 5 31:26 5 35
D D D D D
5
Cruzeiro
22 9 6 7 30:31 -1 33
W W L W D
6
Bahia
22 8 9 5 29:25 4 33
D D D D W
7
Corinthians
22 8 8 6 24:20 4 32
W D D W W
8
RB Bragantino
21 9 4 8 26:22 4 31
L D D W W
9
Botafogo
21 8 6 7 35:33 2 30
D W D W L
10
Coritiba
22 8 6 8 27:29 -2 30
W L D L L
11
Atletico-MG Home
21 8 5 8 27:27 0 29
D W D W L
12
Sao Paulo Away
21 7 5 9 26:25 1 26
L D L L D
13
Vitoria
22 7 5 10 22:33 -11 26
L L L D W
14
Gremio
21 6 7 8 24:27 -3 25
W D L L W
15
Mirassol
21 6 5 10 24:30 -6 23
L W D W L
16
Internacional
22 5 8 9 23:27 -4 23
D D L L L
17
Santos
21 5 7 9 29:35 -6 22
L D L W L
18
Vasco DA Gama
21 5 7 9 23:31 -8 22
D D L L L
19
Remo
22 5 7 10 26:36 -10 22
D L W L W
20
Chapecoense-sc
21 1 7 13 20:43 -23 10
L D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B