BRAZIL › SERIE A
18.03.2026 23:00
MRV Arena
Referee: F. Mendes
Atletico-MG
Match Timeline
Sao Paulo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
61'
Andre Silva ↔ Luciano
Sao Paulo
🔄
61'
Cauly ↔ Lucas Moura
Sao Paulo
🔄
64'
T. Perez ↔ Bernard
Atletico-MG
⚽
64'
I. Roman · Assist: A. Franco
Atletico-MG
🟨
71'
Iván Román
Atletico-MG
🔄
74'
↔ G. Tapia
Sao Paulo
🔄
75'
M. Cassierra ↔ Dudu
Atletico-MG
🔄
83'
Maik ↔ C. Soares
Sao Paulo
🔄
83'
Danielzinho ↔ Ferreira
Sao Paulo
🔄
87'
Cuello ↔ Lyanco
Atletico-MG
🟨
90+4'
Enzo Díaz
Sao Paulo

Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG0.9
Sao Paulo1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WLDWL
10 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
3.33
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 6 matches
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 6 matches
Atletico-MG Statistic Sao Paulo
1 Wins 5
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
7 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 3
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
3.33 Shots On Goal 4.33
11.83 Total Shots 11.33
6.33 Corners 5.17
50.3% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 7 times, Sao Paulo won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-4-2 / Sao Paulo 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 7, draws 6, Sao Paulo wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B