BRAZIL › SERIE A
11.10.2026 19:00
MRV Arena

Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Santos Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.37
Santos1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Santos Santos
WLDWL
44 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
13
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
18
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 matches
Santos Santos 28 matches
Atletico-MG Statistic Santos
11 Wins 11
7 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
36 Goals For 44
32 Goals Against 40
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
13 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 3
4.7 Shots On Goal 4.07
13.63 Total Shots 13.44
5 Corners 5.52
49.4% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 6 times, Santos won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1 / Santos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 6, draws 4, Santos wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B