BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
MRV Arena
Referee: R. Klein
Atletico-MG
Match Timeline
Flamengo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Pedro · Assist: Samuel Lino
Flamengo
🟨
26'
Guillermo Varela
Flamengo
31'
G. Plata · Assist: Samuel Lino
Flamengo
🟨
45+3'
Samuel Lino
Flamengo
45'
G. de Arrascaeta · Assist: G. Varela
Flamengo
🔄
46'
Bernard ↔ A. Minda
Atletico-MG
🔄
46'
A. Franco ↔ T. Perez
Atletico-MG
🟨
48'
Tomás Pérez
Atletico-MG
🔄
73'
Jorginho ↔ S. Niguez
Flamengo
🔄
73'
Samuel Lino ↔ Luiz Araujo
Flamengo
🔄
74'
Cuello ↔ Dudu
Atletico-MG
🔄
74'
Maycon ↔ Gustavo Scarpa
Atletico-MG
🔄
82'
G. de Arrascaeta ↔ Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🔄
82'
Alex Sandro ↔ Ayrton Lucas
Flamengo
84'
Pedro · Assist: Evertton Araujo
Flamengo
VAR
86'
Pedro
Flamengo
🔄
86'
Leo Pereira ↔ Vitao
Flamengo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
60.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 38.1%
Draw 13.6%
Flamengo Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.04
Flamengo1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
Flamengo Flamengo
WLDWL
26 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
8
4.33
Shots on Goal
5.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 12 matches
Flamengo Flamengo 13 matches
Atletico-MG Statistic Flamengo
4 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 2
14 Goals For 26
15 Goals Against 11
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 5.54
13.92 Total Shots 15.38
5.33 Corners 4.23
51% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 4 times, Flamengo won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-4-2 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Atletico-MG 2, Flamengo 1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 4, draws 2, Flamengo wins 9
Stats
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Flamengo Flamengo
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 1
7 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 6
9 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
492 Total passes 486
449 Passes accurate 451
0.91 expected_goals 2.25
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atletico-MG
Formation
Flamengo
Everson
Everson
Natanael
Natanael
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
Vitor Hugo
Vitor Hugo
K. Pascini
K. Pascini
Bernard
Bernard
A. Franco
A. Franco
Maycon
Maycon
Cuello
Cuello
M. Cassierra
M. Cassierra
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
A. Rossi
A. Rossi
G. Varela
🎯
G. Varela
Leo Ortiz
Leo Ortiz
Leo Pereira
Leo Pereira
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro
Jorginho
Jorginho
Evertton Araujo
🎯
Evertton Araujo
G. Plata
G. Plata
G. de Arrascaeta
G. de Arrascaeta
Samuel Lino
🎯
Samuel Lino
Pedro
⚽ 2
Pedro
Atletico-MG 4-4-2
Starting XI
22
Everson
G
2
Natanael
D
4
Ruan Tressoldi
D
14
Vitor Hugo
D
36
K. Pascini
D
11
Bernard
↓ 46'
M
21
A. Franco
↓ 46'
M
8
Maycon
↓ 74'
M
28
Cuello
↓ 74'
M
9
M. Cassierra
F
30
Victor Hugo
F
Substitutes
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
6
J. Alonso
D
23
A. Preciado
D
19
Reinier
M
5
Alexsander
M
92
Dudu
↑ 74'
F
10
Gustavo Scarpa
↑ 74'
M
13
Lyanco
D
17
Igor Gomes
M
27
A. Minda
↑ 46'
F
25
T. Perez
↑ 46' 🟨 48'
M
29
Caua
F
Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Rossi
G
2
G. Varela
🎯 45' 🟨 26'
D
3
Leo Ortiz
D
4
Leo Pereira
↓ 86'
D
26
Alex Sandro
↓ 82'
D
21
Jorginho
↓ 73'
M
52
Evertton Araujo
🎯 84'
M
19
G. Plata
⚽ 31'
M
10
G. de Arrascaeta
⚽ 45' ↓ 82'
M
16
Samuel Lino
🎯 8' 🎯 31' ↓ 73' 🟨 45+3'
M
9
Pedro
⚽ 8' ⚽ 84'
F
Substitutes
42
A. da Silva Ventura
G
49
Dyogo Alves
G
8
S. Niguez
↑ 73'
M
13
Danilo
D
27
Bruno Henrique
↑ 82'
F
6
Ayrton Lucas
↑ 82'
D
7
Luiz Araujo
↑ 73'
F
22
Emerson Royal
D
44
Vitao
↑ 86'
D
64
Wallace Yan
F
11
Everton
F
75
L. Mariano
Last matches: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Flamengo
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Remo
3
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Flamengo
26.04.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
26.11.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
1
L
01.08.25
H2H
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
13.11.24
H2H
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
10.11.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
1
L
03.11.24
H2H
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
3
1
L
04.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
4
L
29.11.23
H2H
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
0
3
W
30.07.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
1
2
L
15.10.22
H2H
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
14.07.22
H2H
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
23.06.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
1
W
19.06.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
0
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
26.04.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
26.11.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
1
L
04.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
4
L
30.07.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
1
2
L
23.06.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
1
W
19.06.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
0
W
Last matches: Flamengo
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
1
W
29.01.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
H2H away: Flamengo
26.04.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
W
26.11.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
1
W
04.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
4
W
30.07.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
1
2
W
23.06.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
1
L
19.06.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
2
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Atletico-MG 2 missing
-
Patrick Silva
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. Lodi
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Flamengo 1 missing
-
E. Pulgar
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT