Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Coritiba Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.34
Coritiba1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
30 GF / 27 GA
Coritiba
WLDWL
28 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
10
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
10
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.22
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
22 matches
Coritiba
23 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 30 | Goals For | 28 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.22 |
| 12.64 | Total Shots | 10.39 |
| 4.68 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 38.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 9 times, Coritiba won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-3-3 / Coritiba 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 9, draws 2, Coritiba wins 4
Last matches: Atletico-MG
16.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
Last matches: Coritiba
16.08.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
08.08.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
31.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
0
D
22.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
19.04.26
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
08.10.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
1
2
L
20.05.23
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
1
2
W
14.08.22
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
24.04.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
2
D
26.12.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
0
W
06.09.20
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
19.11.17
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
3
0
W
30.07.17
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
0
2
W
06.11.16
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
18.07.16
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
1
W
03.10.15
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
0
3
W
02.07.15
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
0
W
30.11.14
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
1
2
L
31.08.14
H2H
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico-MG
16.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
0
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
08.10.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
1
2
L
24.04.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
2
D
26.12.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
0
W
19.11.17
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
3
0
W
18.07.16
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
1
W
02.07.15
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
0
W
30.11.14
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
1
2
L
Last matches: Coritiba
16.08.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Coritiba
08.10.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
1
2
W
24.04.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
2
D
26.12.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
0
L
19.11.17
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
3
0
L
18.07.16
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
1
L
02.07.15
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
2
0
L
30.11.14
H2H
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
1
2
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Coritiba
Away
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B