Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Corinthians Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.11
Corinthians1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
23 GF / 24 GA
Corinthians
WLDWL
27 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
6
4.26
Shots on Goal
3.88
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
19 matches
Corinthians
25 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 27 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.26 | Shots On Goal | 3.88 |
| 12.84 | Total Shots | 12.25 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 4.79 |
| 45.7% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 7 times, Corinthians won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 7, draws 3, Corinthians wins 5
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Corinthians
12.07.26
Fri
Corinthians
Cascavel
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Corinthians
24.05.26
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
0
D
28.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
2
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
09.11.23
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
08.07.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
01.06.23
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
18.05.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
2
0
W
13.11.22
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
24.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
1
2
L
10.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
3
0
W
17.07.21
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
2
W
14.11.20
H2H
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
2
W
12.08.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
3
2
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
25.05.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
0
D
28.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
2
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.05.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
2
0
W
24.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
1
2
L
10.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
3
0
W
12.08.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
3
2
W
Last matches: Corinthians
12.07.26
Fri
Corinthians
Cascavel
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
H2H away: Corinthians
25.05.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
0
D
28.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
2
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
W
18.05.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
2
0
L
24.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
1
2
W
10.11.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
3
0
L
12.08.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
3
2
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Corinthians
Away
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B