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BRAZIL › SERIE A
22.11.2026 21:00
MRV Arena

Atletico-MG vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Corinthians Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.26
Corinthians1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WWDLW
41 GF / 35 GA
Corinthians Corinthians
WLDWL
42 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.02
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
15
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
14
4.8
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 30 matches
Corinthians Corinthians 41 matches
Atletico-MG Statistic Corinthians
13 Wins 12
8 Draws 13
9 Losses 16
41 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 45
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.02
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
15 BTTS Yes 21
21 Over 1.5 29
15 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 15
9 Failed To Score 10
4.8 Shots On Goal 3.85
13.73 Total Shots 12.13
5.17 Corners 4.8
49.4% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 7 times, Corinthians won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-3-3 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 7, draws 3, Corinthians wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
2 30 18 9 3 52:22 30 63
W W D W D
3 30 15 8 7 49:35 14 53
W D W D L
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5 30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
6 30 14 6 10 46:44 2 48
L W W L W
7 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 7 12 38:35 3 40
W D L L D
10 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
11 30 10 9 11 38:48 -10 39
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 30 9 9 12 43:48 -5 36
D L L W D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 30 8 9 13 34:44 -10 33
L D W D W
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 30 7 11 12 33:38 -5 32
D W L W L
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 29 3 9 17 30:61 -31 18
L L D L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B