Atletico-MG vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Corinthians Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.13
Corinthians1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
32 GF / 30 GA
Corinthians
WLDWL
37 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
11
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
10
4.36
Shots on Goal
3.85
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
25 matches
Corinthians
35 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 12 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 32 | Goals For | 37 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.36 | Shots On Goal | 3.85 |
| 13.08 | Total Shots | 12.15 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 4.74 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 7 times, Corinthians won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 7, draws 3, Corinthians wins 5
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 54 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Corinthians
Away
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:40 | -11 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 27:50 | -23 | 17 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B