Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsAtletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
26 matches
Chapecoense-sc
27 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 15 |
| 35 | Goals For | 30 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.46 | Shots On Goal | 3.54 |
| 13.15 | Total Shots | 12.88 |
| 4.81 | Corners | 3.96 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 42.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico-MG's more proactive style and Chapecoense-sc's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Chapecoense-sc. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Atletico-MG arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 36 points compared to Chapecoense-sc in 20 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico-MG expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Chapecoense-sc in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chapecoense-sc having the stronger overall control.
From their first 25 matches, Atletico-MG have collected 36 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 32:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Victor Hugo (4 goals), T. Cuello (4 goals), Reinier (3 goals), with creative support from Hulk (4 assists), Renan Lodi (3 assists), Reinier (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Chapecoense-sc sit 20 with 17 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats with a 27:50 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Marcinho (5 goals), Walter Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), with creative support from Giovanni Augusto (4 assists), Bruno Pacheco (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 5 times, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Away
|
29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | -31 | 18 |
L
L
D
L
W
|