Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
14 matches
Botafogo
17 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 17 | Goals For | 28 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.43 | Shots On Goal | 4.71 |
| 13.64 | Total Shots | 12.18 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 3.82 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico-MG have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico-MG expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Botafogo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo having the stronger overall control.
With 17 points from 14 games and a place of 11, Atletico-MG still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 17:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Victor Hugo (3 goals), Cuello (2 goals), Dudu (2 goals), with creative support from Hulk (3 assists), R. Lodi (2 assists), Victor Hugo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Botafogo are currently 10 in the standings with 17 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Danilo (7 goals), Matheus Martins (4 goals), Arthur Cabral (3 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), Alex Telles (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 6 times, Botafogo won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Atletico-MG
7
5
5
11
5
2
Lineups
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Remo
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Remo
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Gremio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 33:14 | 19 | 44 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:16 | 19 | 37 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 27 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | -3 | 27 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Botafogo
Away
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 18 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17:39 | -22 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
L
|