BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 79%
Draw 14.4%
Vila Nova Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.17
Vila Nova1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
23 GF / 20 GA
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WLDWL
27 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
11
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
9
4.4
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 20 matches
Vila Nova Vila Nova 20 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Vila Nova
8 Wins 10
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
23 Goals For 27
20 Goals Against 24
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
4.4 Shots On Goal 3.6
13.55 Total Shots 12.55
5.5 Corners 4.4
47.1% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vila Nova. Vila Nova arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Goianiense expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense sit 7 with 31 points after 20 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vila Nova Analysis

With 34 points from 20 games and a place of 5, Vila Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 27:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (5 assists), Janderson (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 6 times, Vila Nova won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-1-4-1 / Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 6, draws 4, Vila Nova wins 5
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
27.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
3
1
W
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
3
3
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
Last matches: Vila Nova
27.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
0
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Criciuma
0
2
L
10.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
4
3
W
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Avai
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
2
2
D
H2H: Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova
04.04.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
L
01.03.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
22.02.26
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
2
0
W
25.01.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
0
W
28.06.25
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
L
26.01.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
3
L
07.04.24
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
3
1
W
31.03.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
W
28.01.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
L
01.07.23
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
1
D
22.01.23
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
2
D
22.03.22
H2H
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
3
2
W
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
27.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
3
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
12.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
3
3
D
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
H2H at home: Atletico Goianiense
22.02.26
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
2
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
0
W
26.01.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
3
L
07.04.24
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
3
1
W
01.07.23
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
3
2
W
Last matches: Vila Nova
27.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
0
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Criciuma
0
2
L
10.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
1
L
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
3
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
1
1
D
H2H away: Vila Nova
22.02.26
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
2
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
0
L
26.01.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
3
W
07.04.24
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
3
1
L
01.07.23
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
3
2
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
9 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
10 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
11 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
12 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
15 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
16 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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