Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Goianiense
20 matches
Vila Nova
20 matches
| Atletico Goianiense | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 27 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.4 | Shots On Goal | 3.6 |
| 13.55 | Total Shots | 12.55 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 47.1% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vila Nova. Vila Nova arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Goianiense expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Atletico Goianiense sit 7 with 31 points after 20 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 34 points from 20 games and a place of 5, Vila Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 27:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (5 assists), Janderson (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 6 times, Vila Nova won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
CRB
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 40 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 1 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Atletico Goianiense
Home
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
L
|