ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Atletico DE Rafaela
Match Timeline
Chacarita Juniors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
L. Albertengo · Assist: M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
19'
F. Losas
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
46'
D. Duran ↔ L. Bustos
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
57'
A. Solveyra
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
61'
J. Cavallaro ↔ M. Morello
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
61'
B. Calderara ↔ M. Sanabria
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
61'
M. Cuero ↔ L. Brun
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
71'
F. Jourdan ↔ M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
71'
M. Quiroga ↔ A. Rodriguez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
77'
A. Obando ↔ I. Protti
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
78'
L. Perdomo ↔ E. Gerez
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
78'
A. Maldonado ↔ M. Barrios
Chacarita Juniors

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.4%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 70.4%
Draw 8.6%
Chacarita Juniors Win 20.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico DE Rafaela0.85
Chacarita Juniors0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WWDLW
17 GF / 22 GA
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 24 matches
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 22 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Statistic Chacarita Juniors
8 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
9 Losses 10
17 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 23
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
7 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chacarita Juniors having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico DE Rafaela arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 30 points compared to Chacarita Juniors in 15 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chacarita Juniors. Atletico DE Rafaela have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

With 30 points from 22 games and a place of 7, Atletico DE Rafaela still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 16:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chacarita Juniors Analysis

Chacarita Juniors approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 23 points from 21 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 16:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Atletico DE Rafaela won 3 times, Chacarita Juniors won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Atletico DE Rafaela's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
H2H summary: Atletico DE Rafaela wins 3, draws 1, Chacarita Juniors wins 3

Lineups

Atletico DE Rafaela
Formation
Chacarita Juniors
M. Bergia
M. Bergia
L. Flores
L. Flores
A. Solveyra
A. Solveyra
U. Yegros
U. Yegros
E. Wuattier
E. Wuattier
J. Cavallaro
J. Cavallaro
J. Capurro
J. Capurro
F. Jourdan
F. Jourdan
A. Obando
A. Obando
L. Albertengo
L. Albertengo
M. Quiroga
🎯
M. Quiroga
F. Losas
F. Losas
A. Maldonado
A. Maldonado
M. Leyendeker
M. Leyendeker
S. Vittor
S. Vittor
N. Chaves
N. Chaves
D. Duran
D. Duran
L. Perdomo
L. Perdomo
C. Guanca
C. Guanca
B. Calderara
B. Calderara
M. Cuero
M. Cuero
A. Dominguez
A. Dominguez
Atletico DE Rafaela 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Bergia
4
L. Flores
2
A. Solveyra
🟨 57'
6
U. Yegros
3
E. Wuattier
8
J. Cavallaro
↓ 61'
5
J. Capurro
7
F. Jourdan
↓ 71'
10
A. Obando
↓ 77'
9
L. Albertengo
⚽ 17'
11
M. Quiroga
🎯 17' ↓ 71'
Substitutes
12
R. Martinez
13
L. Moscoloni
14
N. Ramos
15
A. Gonzalez
16
M. Morello
↑ 61'
17
M. Fernandez
18
M. Pardo
↑ 71'
19
I. Protti
↑ 77'
20
A. Rodriguez
↑ 71'
Chacarita Juniors 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Losas
🟨 19'
4
A. Maldonado
↓ 78'
2
M. Leyendeker
6
S. Vittor
3
N. Chaves
8
D. Duran
↓ 46'
5
L. Perdomo
↓ 78'
10
C. Guanca
11
B. Calderara
↓ 61'
7
M. Cuero
↓ 61'
9
A. Dominguez
Substitutes
12
G. Fernandez
13
N. Pantaleone
14
F. Facello
16
L. Bustos
↑ 46'
17
M. Sanabria
↑ 61'
18
L. Brun
↑ 61'
19
A. Cuello
20
E. Gerez
↑ 78'
15
M. Barrios
↑ 78'
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
24.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
0
0
D
14.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Temperley
0
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
04.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Almagro
0
1
L
23.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Colegiales
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Quilmes
0
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Midland
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atlanta
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Agropecuario
4
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
Last matches: Chacarita Juniors
23.08.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
L
19.08.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Club Atlético Güemes
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
CA Estudiantes
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Agropecuario
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
05.07.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
21.06.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Nueva Chicago
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Temperley
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Deportivo Maipu
2
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Patronato
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Colegiales
2
0
W
04.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Quilmes
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Midland
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Atlanta
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Gimnasia Y Tiro
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
CA Estudiantes
0
3
L
H2H: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors
08.08.26
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
22.03.26
H2H
Chacarita Juniors
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
W
15.10.23
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
02.06.23
H2H
Chacarita Juniors
Atletico DE Rafaela
3
0
L
23.07.22
H2H
Chacarita Juniors
Atletico DE Rafaela
3
1
L
16.05.20
H2H
Chacarita Juniors
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
03.12.19
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
06.04.19
H2H
Chacarita Juniors
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
0
L
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
14.08.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Colegiales
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Midland
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Agropecuario
4
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Temperley
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Almagro
0
0
D
H2H at home: Atletico DE Rafaela
08.08.26
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
15.10.23
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
03.12.19
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
Last matches: Chacarita Juniors
15.08.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
CA Estudiantes
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
05.07.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Nueva Chicago
0
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Deportivo Maipu
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Patronato
0
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Quilmes
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Atlanta
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Agropecuario
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
09.11.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Deportivo Merlo
4
0
W
02.11.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
CA Estudiantes
4
1
W
18.10.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Fénix
1
1
D
05.10.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Tristan Suarez
2
0
W
28.09.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Deportivo Español
3
0
W
24.09.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Villa Dalmine
1
1
D
11.09.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
01.09.14
Pri
Chacarita Juniors
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
H2H away: Chacarita Juniors
08.08.26
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
L
15.10.23
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
03.12.19
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation