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MEXICO › LIGA MX
02.08.2026 01:05
Estadio Jalisco
Referee: Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina, Mexico
Atlas
Match Timeline
Monterrey
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Victor Rios
Atlas
🟨
19'
Jorge Sánchez
Atlas
⚽
28'
D. Rossi
Monterrey
🟨
39'
Luís Esteves
Atlas
🔄
45+3'
J. Sanchez ↔ Gustavo Ferrareis
Atlas
🔄
45+3'
L. Esteves ↔ S. Hernandez
Atlas
🟨
47'
Manuel Capasso
Atlas
🟨
49'
Edgar Zaldívar
Atlas
🟨
57'
Alonso Aceves
Monterrey
🔄
64'
L. Orellano ↔ R. Chavez
Monterrey
🔄
64'
A. Aceves ↔ G. Arteaga
Monterrey
🟥
71'
Duk
Atlas
VAR
73'
Duk
Atlas
🔄
75'
O. Pineda ↔ J. Rodriguez
Monterrey
🔄
75'
J. Corona ↔ F. Ambriz
Monterrey
🔄
77'
A. Gonzalez ↔ P. Ramirez
Atlas
🔄
84'
R. Mmaee ↔ J. Martin
Atlas
🔄
84'
E. Zaldivar ↔ J. Lozano
Atlas
🔄
86'
O. Torres ↔ I. Fimbres
Monterrey
🟨
88'
Carlos Salcedo
Monterrey
🟥
90+5'
Milton Valenzuela
Atlas
🟥
90+5'
Carlos Salcedo
Monterrey
VAR
90+3'
Iker Fimbres
Monterrey
⚽
90'
L. Ocampos
Monterrey

Atlas vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlas Win 22.5%
Draw 23.2%
Monterrey Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlas1.08
Monterrey1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlas Atlas
W W L D L
7 GF / 7 GA
Monterrey Monterrey
L W D W D
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
3
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
6
6
Shots on Goal
6.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlas Atlas 8 matches
Monterrey Monterrey 10 matches
Atlas Statistic Monterrey
2 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
8 Goals For 20
10 Goals Against 12
1 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
3 BTTS Yes 8
3 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 6.17
10 Total Shots 14.17
3.5 Corners 3.5
49% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlas won 1 times, Monterrey won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:25 from Atlas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.5%)
Predicted formations: Atlas 4-2-2-2 / Monterrey 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atlas wins 1, draws 5, Monterrey wins 9

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 32:16 16 27
W W D W D
2 13 6 5 2 20:12 8 23
W D D L D
3 13 7 2 4 29:22 7 23
W W D D L
4 13 6 4 3 28:18 10 22
D D L D L
6
Atlas Home
13 6 3 4 21:23 -2 21
L W D W D
7 12 6 2 4 23:17 6 20
W W D L W
8 12 6 2 4 16:15 1 20
L L W W D
9 13 6 1 6 19:16 3 19
W W W W W
10 14 5 4 5 19:22 -3 19
W W D L W
11 12 4 5 3 17:16 1 17
D D D L D
12 13 4 4 5 19:22 -3 16
L W D L D
13 13 4 4 5 13:17 -4 16
L D D L D
14 13 3 5 5 14:18 -4 14
L D W W L
15 14 3 5 6 14:20 -6 14
L W L L W
16 13 3 4 6 20:18 2 13
L L D L D
17 14 2 4 8 16:27 -11 10
D L L D L
18 14 1 2 11 9:33 -24 5
D L L D L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)