Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
66.5%
|
1.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.8%
|
1.37 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.00 |
Atlanta United FC
Charlotte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlanta United FC
25 matches
Charlotte
25 matches
| Atlanta United FC | Statistic | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 33 | Goals For | 44 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 5.05 |
| 12.33 | Total Shots | 11.52 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 4.38 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Charlotte's more proactive style and Atlanta United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charlotte. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Charlotte carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 29 points while Atlanta United FC sit 15 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 18 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats with a 23:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Saba Lobzhanidze (2 goals), Ajani Fortune (2 goals), Miguel Almirón (2 goals), with creative support from Aleksey Miranchuk (3 assists), Saba Lobzhanidze (2 assists), Elías Báez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 20 matches, Charlotte have collected 29 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 35:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 4 times, Charlotte won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 54 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Charlotte
Away
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44:56 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 32 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52:59 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33:48 | -15 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 23 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
Home
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | -14 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31:51 | -20 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|