Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Atalanta
Bologna
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atalanta
52 matches
Bologna
54 matches
| Atalanta | Statistic | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 23 |
| 16 | Draws | 13 |
| 14 | Losses | 18 |
| 76 | Goals For | 71 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 40 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.46 |
| 14.73 | Total Shots | 14.24 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 5.31 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bologna. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atalanta expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Bologna in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bologna having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 36 matches, Atalanta have collected 58 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, while the 50:34 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Scamacca (10 goals), N. Krstovic (10 goals), C. De Ketelaere (3 goals), with creative support from N. Krstovic (5 assists), C. De Ketelaere (5 assists), N. Zalewski (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, Bologna have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 52 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, while the 45:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Orsolini (9 goals), S. Castro (7 goals), J. Odgaard (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Cambiaghi (4 assists), E. Holm (4 assists), Juan Miranda (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 6 times, Bologna won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Atalanta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Atalanta
1
5
5
3
4
2
Lineups
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta
AC Milan
Atalanta
Genoa
Atalanta
Cagliari
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
AS Roma
Atalanta
Juventus
Atalanta
Lecce
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Inter
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Udinese
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Napoli
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Cremonese
Bologna
Inter
Bologna
Napoli
Bologna
Cagliari
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Juventus
Bologna
Aston Villa
Bologna
Lecce
Bologna
Aston Villa
Bologna
Cremonese
Bologna
Lazio
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Sassuolo
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Pisa
Bologna
Brann
Bologna
Udinese
Bologna
Brann
Bologna
Torino
Bologna
Lazio
Atalanta
Genoa
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Juventus
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Udinese
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Napoli
Atalanta
Cremonese
Atalanta
Juventus
Atalanta
Parma
Atalanta
Athletic Club
Atalanta
Torino
Atalanta
AS Roma
Atalanta
Inter
Atalanta
Cagliari
Atalanta
Chelsea
Atalanta
Genoa
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Bologna
Napoli
Bologna
Juventus
Bologna
Aston Villa
Bologna
Cremonese
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Sassuolo
Bologna
Pisa
Bologna
Brann
Bologna
Torino
Bologna
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Bologna
Genoa
Bologna
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Como
Bologna
Inter
Bologna
Napoli
Bologna
Celta Vigo
Bologna
Lazio
Bologna
Udinese
Bologna
Parma
Bologna
Fiorentina
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Atalanta
Home
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 8 |
Bologna
Away
|
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|