BRAZIL › SERIE D

--.--.---- --:--

ASA

5 - 1

Cianorte

ASA

Match Timeline

Cianorte

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

⚽

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 44.7%

Odds 1.57

BTTS

Probability 56%

Odds 1.40

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 65.5%

Odds 1.42

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	44.7%	1.57	▥
BTTS	No	56%	1.40	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	65.5%	1.42	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	1.21	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.50	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	6.00	▥

Probability Distribution

ASA Win 44.7%

Draw 16.3%

Cianorte Win 39%

Expected Goals (xG)

ASA1.07

Cianorte0.8

Recent Form (Last 5)

ASA

WWDLW

20 GF / 9 GA

Cianorte

WLDWL

14 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

0.93

0.6

Average Goals Conceded

0.67

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ASA 15 matches

Cianorte 15 matches

ASA	Statistic	Cianorte
8	Wins	7
5	Draws	2
2	Losses	6
20	Goals For	14
9	Goals Against	10
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	0.93
0.6	Avg Goals Conceded	0.67
7	BTTS Yes	3
9	Over 1.5	4
6	Over 2.5	4
1	Over 3.5	3
7	Clean Sheets	8
3	Failed To Score	6
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. ASA hold an advantage after winning the first leg 1-0, so Cianorte now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cianorte having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cianorte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

ASA Analysis

ASA enter this tie with a season profile built on 16 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:7, they bring mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Cianorte Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Cianorte arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 16 points after 10 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, ASA won 1 times, Cianorte won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from ASA's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)

H2H summary: ASA wins 1, draws 0, Cianorte wins 0

Last matches: ASA

18.07.26

Ser

ASA

Cianorte

12.07.26

Ser

ASA

Ivinhema

06.07.26

Ser

ASA

Ivinhema

27.06.26

Ser

ASA

Sergipe

21.06.26

Ser

ASA

Sergipe

14.06.26

Ser

ASA

Jacuipense

30.05.26

Ser

ASA

CSE

23.05.26

Ser

ASA

CSA

16.05.26

Ser

ASA

Juazeirense

10.05.26

Ser

ASA

Atlético Alagoinhas

03.05.26

Ser

ASA

Atlético Alagoinhas

26.04.26

Ser

ASA

Juazeirense

19.04.26

Ser

ASA

CSA

12.04.26

Ser

ASA

CSE

04.04.26

Ser

ASA

Jacuipense

06.09.25

Ser

ASA

Maranhão

30.08.25

Ser

ASA

Maranhão

23.08.25

Ser

ASA

Manauara

16.08.25

Ser

ASA

Manauara

09.08.25

Ser

ASA

Ferroviario

Last matches: Cianorte

18.07.26

Ser

Cianorte

ASA

11.07.26

Ser

Cianorte

XV de Piracicaba

04.07.26

Ser

Cianorte

XV de Piracicaba

28.06.26

Ser

Cianorte

Independiente FSJ

20.06.26

Ser

Cianorte

Independiente FSJ

07.06.26

Ser

Cianorte

Guarany de Bagé

31.05.26

Ser

Cianorte

Santa Catarina

23.05.26

Ser

Cianorte

Joinville

17.05.26

Ser

Cianorte

Cascavel

10.05.26

Ser

Cianorte

São Luiz

03.05.26

Ser

Cianorte

São Luiz

26.04.26

Ser

Cianorte

Cascavel

19.04.26

Ser

Cianorte

Joinville

11.04.26

Ser

Cianorte

Santa Catarina

05.04.26

Ser

Cianorte

Guarany de Bagé

06.09.25

Ser

Cianorte

Barra

31.08.25

Ser

Cianorte

Barra

23.08.25

Ser

Cianorte

Mixto

17.08.25

Ser

Cianorte

Mixto

10.08.25

Ser

Cianorte

Joinville

H2H: ASA vs Cianorte

18.07.26

H2H

Cianorte

ASA

Last matches: ASA

12.07.26

Ser

ASA

Ivinhema

21.06.26

Ser

ASA

Sergipe

30.05.26

Ser

ASA

CSE

16.05.26

Ser

ASA

Juazeirense

10.05.26

Ser

ASA

Atlético Alagoinhas

19.04.26

Ser

ASA

CSA

04.04.26

Ser

ASA

Jacuipense

06.09.25

Ser

ASA

Maranhão

23.08.25

Ser

ASA

Manauara

09.08.25

Ser

ASA

Ferroviario

27.07.25

Ser

ASA

Juazeirense

05.07.25

Ser

ASA

Sergipe

28.06.25

Ser

ASA

Lagarto

07.06.25

Ser

ASA

União Carmolandense

24.05.25

Ser

ASA

Barcelona BA

03.05.25

Ser

ASA

Penedense

26.04.25

Ser

ASA

Jequié

Last matches: Cianorte

11.07.26

Ser

Cianorte

XV de Piracicaba

20.06.26

Ser

Cianorte

Independiente FSJ

07.06.26

Ser

Cianorte

Guarany de Bagé

23.05.26

Ser

Cianorte

Joinville

03.05.26

Ser

Cianorte

São Luiz

26.04.26

Ser

Cianorte

Cascavel

11.04.26

Ser

Cianorte

Santa Catarina

06.09.25

Ser

Cianorte

Barra

23.08.25

Ser

Cianorte

Mixto

03.08.25

Ser

Cianorte

Joinville

26.07.25

Ser

Cianorte

Operario Ferroviario

12.07.25

Ser

Cianorte

Cascavel

27.06.25

Ser

Cianorte

Inter De Limeira

07.06.25

Ser

Cianorte

Goiatuba EC

24.05.25

Ser

Cianorte

Uberlandia

10.05.25

Ser

Cianorte

Monte Azul

26.04.25

Ser

Cianorte

Itabirito

Showing odds from: 1xBet

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 6.31

Draw 3.23

Home 1.57

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 1.0 1.17

Over 1.25 1.34

Over 1.5 1.53

Over 1.75 1.70

Over 2.0 2.01

Over 2.25 2.33

Over 2.5 2.63

Over 2.75 3.19

Under 1.0 4.40

Under 1.25 2.95

Under 1.5 2.33

Under 1.75 2.06

Under 2.0 1.76

Under 2.25 1.55

Under 2.5 1.42

Under 2.75 1.30

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 5.75

Draw 3.10

Home 1.62

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 7.00

Draw 1.91

Home 2.25

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 6.00

Draw 2.20

Home 2.00

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 0.5 1.12

Over 1.5 1.57

Over 2.5 2.62

Over 3.5 5.00

Over 4.5 9.00

Over 5.5 15.00

Under 0.5 5.50

Under 1.5 2.25

Under 2.5 1.44

Under 3.5 1.14

Under 4.5 1.04

Under 5.5 1.01

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 6.44

Draw 3.15

Home 1.59

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 7.95

Draw 1.83

Home 2.28

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 6.49

Draw 2.20

Home 1.99

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 0.5 1.08

Over 0.75 1.10

Over 1.0 1.14

Over 1.25 1.35

Over 1.5 1.53

Over 1.75 1.67

Over 2.0 1.94

Over 2.25 2.30

Over 2.5 2.59

Over 2.75 3.14

Over 3.0 4.33

Over 3.5 5.15

Over 4.5 12.00

Over 5.5 15.00

Under 0.5 5.70

Under 0.75 5.09

Under 1.0 4.45

Under 1.25 2.88

Under 1.5 2.31

Under 1.75 1.98

Under 2.0 1.70

Under 2.25 1.54

Under 2.5 1.39

Under 2.75 1.27

Under 3.0 1.14

Under 3.5 1.10

Under 4.5 1.03

Under 5.5 1.01

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 4.50

Draw 3.10

Home 1.76

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 5.20

Draw 1.93

Home 2.48

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 4.60

Draw 2.23

Home 2.23

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 1.5 1.50

Over 2.5 2.63

Under 1.5 2.30

Under 2.5 1.40

Standings

Group 7

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Ferroviario	10	6	3	1	15:7	8	21	W D W W D
2	Piauí	10	5	2	3	14:11	3	17	W W L W D
3	Fluminense PI	10	3	5	2	12:9	3	14	L D W D L
4	Altos	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11	W D L L L
5	WSG Wattens	10	2	4	4	10:10	0	10	L D W D W
6	Uniclinic Atletico Clube	10	1	4	5	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 8

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	ABC	10	7	2	1	15:6	9	23	W W D W W
2	America-RN	10	6	3	1	14:3	11	21	W W D W D
3	Maguary PE	10	3	4	3	8:5	3	13	L W D D D
4	Central SC	10	3	4	3	8:7	1	13	W L D D L
5	Sousa	10	3	1	6	4:11	-7	10	L L D L W
6	Laguna	10	0	2	8	3:20	-17	2	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Treze	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17	L D L W W
1	CSA	10	6	3	1	25:8	17	21	W D D W W
1	Uberlandia	10	5	3	2	12:8	4	18	L D D D W
1	Democrata GV	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17	D W W L L
1	Portuguesa	10	6	3	1	16:6	10	21	W W W D L
1	XV de Piracicaba	10	4	5	1	14:9	5	17	L D D W W
1	Santa Catarina	10	6	1	3	15:9	6	19	W W W W L
1	Blumenau	10	6	1	3	14:8	6	19	L W W L D
2	Sergipe	10	4	3	3	15:13	2	15	D L L D W
2	Juazeirense	10	5	2	3	12:9	3	17	W D D L L
2	Ipatinga	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15	W L W D D
2	Tombense	10	4	5	1	13:6	7	17	D W D W D
2	Água Santa	10	5	2	3	16:8	8	17	L W W D D
2	Noroeste	10	4	3	3	12:7	5	15	W D L W W
2	Cianorte Away	10	5	1	4	9:8	1	16	W L D W L
2	Marcílio Dias	10	4	4	2	9:5	4	16	D L D W W
3	Serra Branca	10	3	6	1	12:8	4	15	D D W L D
3	ASA Home	10	4	4	2	11:7	4	16	D D D W W
3	CRAC	10	3	4	3	7:7	0	13	D L D W D
3	Vitória ES	10	4	3	3	12:8	4	15	D D W D W
3	Portuguesa RJ	10	3	5	2	14:9	5	14	L D D W D
3	Velo Clube	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13	W L D L D
3	Cascavel	10	4	3	3	9:4	5	15	L D W L W
3	Independiente FSJ	10	3	4	3	3:4	-1	13	D L D L D
4	Lagarto	10	3	4	3	14:15	-1	13	W W D D D
4	Jacuipense	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13	D D D W W
4	Ivinhema	10	3	4	3	9:12	-3	13	D D L L D
4	Rio Branco ES	10	3	4	3	14:12	2	13	W L L D D
4	América RJ	10	3	3	4	11:21	-10	12	W D L W L
4	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	10	3	3	4	8:10	-2	12	L W D L L
4	São Luiz	10	4	3	3	11:9	2	15	W D L W W
4	Sao Jose	10	3	4	3	6:8	-2	13	W W D D W
5	Retrô	10	3	3	4	13:15	-2	12	W D D W L
5	CSE	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9	L D D L L
5	ABECAT Ouvidorense	10	3	3	4	8:9	-1	12	W W W L D
5	Porto BA	10	3	1	6	9:21	-12	10	L L L D L
5	Madureira	10	3	2	5	11:16	-5	11	W L D L W
5	Nova Iguaçu	10	3	3	4	7:10	-3	12	W L W W D
5	Joinville	10	4	3	3	10:8	2	15	L W D L L
5	Brasil DE Pelotas	10	2	4	4	9:12	-3	10	D L D D L
6	Decisão	10	2	2	6	10:17	-7	8	L D W L L
6	Atlético Alagoinhas	10	1	2	7	5:20	-15	5	L D D L L
6	Operario Ferroviario	10	2	3	5	9:12	-3	9	L W L W L
6	Real Noroeste	10	1	5	4	6:11	-5	8	D D D D W
6	Pouso Alegre	10	2	1	7	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W
6	CFRJ / Maricá	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L W D L L
6	Guarany de Bagé	10	1	1	8	2:18	-16	4	L L L L W
6	Azuriz	10	2	3	5	7:11	-4	9	D W L W L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Manauara	10	6	4	0	13:5	8	22	W W D W D
2	Nacional AM	10	6	2	2	15:9	6	20	W D W L W
3	Sao Raimundo	10	3	4	3	10:7	3	13	L W D L L
4	Monte Roraima	10	2	4	4	11:14	-3	10	L L D W W
5	Manaus FC	10	2	4	4	8:13	-5	10	L D D W L
6	GAS	10	1	2	7	8:17	-9	5	W L L L D

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Guaporé	10	6	4	0	19:9	10	22	D W W D W
2	Porto Velho	10	5	3	2	33:9	24	18	W W D D W
3	Araguaína	10	5	3	2	31:9	22	18	W L D L W
4	Independência	10	4	3	3	17:10	7	15	D W W W L
5	Galvez	10	3	1	6	14:31	-17	10	L L L W L
6	Humaitá	10	0	0	10	4:50	-46	0	L L L L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Gama	10	8	2	0	23:6	17	26	D W W W W
2	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11:10	1	15	W D W L L
3	Brasiliense	10	3	5	2	11:10	1	14	W D W L L
4	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13	D D L D W
5	Primavera MG	10	3	3	4	10:13	-3	12	L D L W W
6	Inhumas	10	0	1	9	3:20	-17	1	L L L D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Capital Brasilia	10	7	2	1	16:6	10	23	W W D W W
2	Goiatuba EC	10	5	4	1	13:7	6	19	W D D L D
3	Ceilândia	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12	D D W L L
4	Mixto	10	2	6	2	10:9	1	12	D D D W L
5	União Rondonópolis	10	2	3	5	11:18	-7	9	L D L W D
6	CEOV Operário	10	1	2	7	7:16	-9	5	L L D L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 5

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Trem	10	6	2	2	19:13	6	20	W L W W L
2	Águia de Marabá	10	5	3	2	20:11	9	18	L W W L W
3	Imperatriz	10	4	3	3	15:10	5	15	W W L L W
4	Tuna Luso	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13	L W D W L
5	Tocantinópolis	10	3	3	4	18:18	0	12	W L L W W
6	Oratório	10	1	1	8	12:29	-17	4	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 6

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Iguatu	10	5	5	0	14:7	7	20	W D D D W
2	Maracanã	10	5	4	1	12:6	6	19	W W W D D
3	Parnahyba	10	4	2	4	11:13	-2	14	W D L L W
4	Sampaio Correa	10	3	4	3	12:6	6	13	L W W W D
5	Moto Club	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9	L L L D L
6	IAPE	10	0	4	6	10:20	-10	4	L L D D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)