Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AS Roma
Lazio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AS Roma
47 matches
Lazio
41 matches
| AS Roma | Statistic | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 15 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 74 | Goals For | 44 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 4.64 | Shots On Goal | 3.8 |
| 13.28 | Total Shots | 10.59 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 3.66 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AS Roma expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lazio in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lazio having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lazio. AS Roma come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
AS Roma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 67 points after 36 outings. The return of 21 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 55:31, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Malen (13 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), Wesley Franca (5 goals), with creative support from M. Soule (5 assists), D. Rensch (4 assists), M. Kone (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Bove unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Lazio sit 9 with 51 points after 36 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 39:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Isaksen (5 goals), M. Cancellieri (4 goals), Pedro (4 goals), with creative support from Danilo Cataldi (3 assists), T. Basic (3 assists), Valentín Castellanos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 6 times, Lazio won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from AS Roma's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
AS Roma
7
2
8
3
1
1
Lineups
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
Parma
AS Roma
Fiorentina
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Atalanta
AS Roma
Pisa
AS Roma
Inter
AS Roma
Lecce
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Como
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Genoa
AS Roma
Juventus
AS Roma
Cremonese
AS Roma
Napoli
AS Roma
Cagliari
AS Roma
Udinese
AS Roma
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
AC Milan
AS Roma
VfB Stuttgart
Lazio
Pisa
Lazio
Inter
Lazio
Inter
Lazio
Cremonese
Lazio
Udinese
Lazio
Atalanta
Lazio
Napoli
Lazio
Fiorentina
Lazio
Parma
Lazio
Bologna
Lazio
AC Milan
Lazio
Sassuolo
Lazio
Atalanta
Lazio
Torino
Lazio
Cagliari
Lazio
Atalanta
Lazio
Bologna
Lazio
Juventus
Lazio
Genoa
Lazio
Lecce
AS Roma
Fiorentina
AS Roma
Atalanta
AS Roma
Pisa
AS Roma
Lecce
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Juventus
AS Roma
Cremonese
AS Roma
Cagliari
AS Roma
AC Milan
AS Roma
VfB Stuttgart
AS Roma
Torino
AS Roma
Sassuolo
AS Roma
Genoa
AS Roma
Como
AS Roma
Napoli
AS Roma
FC Midtjylland
AS Roma
Udinese
AS Roma
Parma
AS Roma
Plzen
AS Roma
Inter
Lazio
Cremonese
Lazio
Atalanta
Lazio
Napoli
Lazio
Fiorentina
Lazio
Bologna
Lazio
Torino
Lazio
Cagliari
Lazio
Bologna
Lazio
Juventus
Lazio
Lecce
Lazio
Hellas Verona
Lazio
Udinese
Lazio
Parma
Lazio
AC Milan
Lazio
Inter
Lazio
Pisa
Lazio
Atalanta
Lazio
Genoa
Lazio
Sassuolo
Lazio
Como
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
AS Roma
Home
|
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Lazio
Away
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|