Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
33.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AS Roma
45 matches
Fiorentina
49 matches
| AS Roma | Statistic | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 17 |
| 6 | Draws | 13 |
| 15 | Losses | 19 |
| 67 | Goals For | 64 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.53 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 13.22 | Total Shots | 13.63 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 55.2% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AS Roma's more proactive style and Fiorentina's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AS Roma expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fiorentina in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fiorentina having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fiorentina. AS Roma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 61 points compared to Fiorentina in 16 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
So far, AS Roma have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 61 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 48:29 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Malen (11 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), L. Pellegrini (4 goals), with creative support from M. Soule (5 assists), D. Rensch (4 assists), L. Pellegrini (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without N. El Aynaoui, L. Pellegrini, A. Dovbyk, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
With 37 points from 34 games and a place of 16, Fiorentina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 38:45 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Moise Kean (8 goals), R. Mandragora (6 goals), A. Gudmundsson (5 goals), with creative support from A. Gudmundsson (4 assists), R. Mandragora (3 assists), Nicolò Fagioli (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with T. Lamptey, L. Balbo, N. Fortini unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 9 times, Fiorentina won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:19 from AS Roma's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
AS Roma
7
1
3
3
4
0
Lineups
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
Lazio
AS Roma
Parma
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Atalanta
AS Roma
Pisa
AS Roma
Inter
AS Roma
Lecce
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Como
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Genoa
AS Roma
Juventus
AS Roma
Cremonese
AS Roma
Napoli
AS Roma
Cagliari
AS Roma
Udinese
AS Roma
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
AC Milan
AS Roma
VfB Stuttgart
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Juventus
Fiorentina
Genoa
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Lecce
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Lazio
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Inter
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Parma
Fiorentina
Udinese
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Pisa
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Como
Fiorentina
Torino
AS Roma
Lazio
AS Roma
Atalanta
AS Roma
Pisa
AS Roma
Lecce
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Juventus
AS Roma
Cremonese
AS Roma
Cagliari
AS Roma
AC Milan
AS Roma
VfB Stuttgart
AS Roma
Torino
AS Roma
Sassuolo
AS Roma
Genoa
AS Roma
Como
AS Roma
Napoli
AS Roma
FC Midtjylland
AS Roma
Udinese
AS Roma
Parma
AS Roma
Plzen
AS Roma
Inter
Fiorentina
Juventus
Fiorentina
Lecce
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Udinese
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Como
Fiorentina
Napoli
Fiorentina
Bologna
Fiorentina
Lazio
Fiorentina
Parma
Fiorentina
Lausanne
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Genoa
Fiorentina
FSV Mainz 05
Fiorentina
Inter
Fiorentina
Rapid Vienna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
AS Roma
Home
|
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Fiorentina
Away
|
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|