Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
33.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
22.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arka Gdynia
32 matches
Nieciecza
32 matches
| Arka Gdynia | Statistic | Nieciecza |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 18 |
| 32 | Goals For | 37 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.91 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.31 | Shots On Goal | 4.22 |
| 10.34 | Total Shots | 12.78 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arka Gdynia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nieciecza in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nieciecza having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nieciecza arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nieciecza.
With 36 points from 32 games and a place of 17, Arka Gdynia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 32:55 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. D. Espiau Hernandez (5 goals), N. Rusyn (4 goals), S. Kerk (4 goals), with creative support from S. Kerk (7 assists), Marc Navarro (4 assists), Kike Hermoso (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nieciecza sit 18 with 28 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 37:61, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Jimenez (5 goals), K. Kubica (5 goals), K. Zapolnik (5 goals), with creative support from Damian Hilbrycht (3 assists), Sergio Guerrero (2 assists), M. Ambrosiewicz (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Arka Gdynia won 2 times, Nieciecza won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Arka Gdynia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.
Arka Gdynia
4
4
7
5
5
3
Lineups
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
Nieciecza
Wisla Krakow
Nieciecza
Unia Tarnow
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Arka Gdynia
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Arka Gdynia
Gangwon FC
Arka Gdynia
Csikszereda
Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
Nieciecza
Wisla Krakow
Nieciecza
Unia Tarnow
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
IMT Novi Beograd
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
Home
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 18 |
Nieciecza
Away
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|