CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Alphamega Stadium
Referee: P. Simani
Aris
Match Timeline
Apollon Limassol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
R. Effaghe
Aris
🟨
15'
Philipp Kuhn
Apollon Limassol
17'
J. Montnor
Aris
44'
R. Effaghe
Aris
🔄
46'
Z. Adoni ↔ A. Vrikkis
Apollon Limassol
🔄
46'
P. Marques ↔ A. Youssef
Apollon Limassol
🟨
47'
Gustavo Assunção
Apollon Limassol
🔄
58'
Gustavo Paje ↔ C. Fi Akamba
Aris
🔄
67'
D. Escriche ↔ G. Weissbeck
Apollon Limassol
🔄
67'
B. Thomas ↔ P. Charalambous
Apollon Limassol
🔄
75'
G. Assuncao ↔ C. Duodu
Apollon Limassol
🔄
77'
C. Charalampous ↔ E. Semedo
Aris
🔄
77'
R. Effaghe ↔ A. Kakoullis
Aris
🔄
83'
D. Gaustad ↔ V. Nikolic
Aris
🔄
83'
Anderson Correia ↔ R. Ergas
Aris
🟨
90+3'
Jaden Montnor
Aris

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 91%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
91%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Aris Win 41.1%
Draw 4.1%
Apollon Limassol Win 54.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aris1.45
Apollon Limassol1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aris Aris
WWDLW
60 GF / 38 GA
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
WLDWL
41 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
18
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
12
2
Shots on Goal
1.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aris Aris 33 matches
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 29 matches
Aris Statistic Apollon Limassol
14 Wins 17
10 Draws 7
9 Losses 5
60 Goals For 41
38 Goals Against 26
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
18 BTTS Yes 13
28 Over 1.5 20
20 Over 2.5 12
13 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 4
2 Shots On Goal 1.15
5.27 Total Shots 4.04
2 Corners 1.92
18.7% Ball Possession 18.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Apollon Limassol. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aris expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Apollon Limassol in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Apollon Limassol having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Aris Analysis

Aris are currently 6 in the standings with 45 points from 29 matches. The record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 51:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Montnor (7 goals), Andronikos Kakoullis (6 goals), R. Effaghe (6 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Apollon Limassol Analysis

Placed 2 with 58 points from 29 outings, Apollon Limassol continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 38:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Brandon Thomas (8 goals), P. Marques (8 goals), J. Kvida (6 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aris won 10 times, Apollon Limassol won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:14 from Aris's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Aris 4-3-3 / Apollon Limassol 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aris wins 10, draws 2, Apollon Limassol wins 3
Stats
Aris Aris
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
372 Total passes 445
319 Passes accurate 377
2.67 expected_goals 1.04
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aris
Formation
Apollon Limassol
Vana Alves
Vana Alves
M. Sane
M. Sane
C. Goldson
C. Goldson
S. Yago
S. Yago
Anderson Correia
Anderson Correia
C. Charalampous
C. Charalampous
D. Gaustad
D. Gaustad
G. Kastanos
G. Kastanos
Gustavo Paje
Gustavo Paje
J. Montnor
J. Montnor
R. Effaghe
⚽ 2
R. Effaghe
P. Kuhn
P. Kuhn
A. Shikkis
A. Shikkis
Z. Adoni
Z. Adoni
J. Kvida
J. Kvida
G. Malekkidis
G. Malekkidis
L. Markovic
L. Markovic
G. Assuncao
G. Assuncao
J. Zmrhal
J. Zmrhal
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
P. Marques
P. Marques
D. Escriche
D. Escriche
Aris 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Vana Alves
G
19
M. Sane
D
6
C. Goldson
D
20
S. Yago
D
7
Anderson Correia
↓ 83'
D
76
C. Charalampous
↓ 77'
M
29
D. Gaustad
↓ 83'
M
28
G. Kastanos
M
30
Gustavo Paje
↓ 58'
66
J. Montnor
⚽ 17' 🟨 90+3'
M
99
R. Effaghe
⚽ 3' ⚽ 44' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
25
W. Foderingham
G
90
E. Sofroniou
G
9
A. Kokorin
F
14
Y. Gomis
F
18
Y. Bourhane
M
22
V. Nikolic
↑ 83'
M
27
L. Balogun
D
40
R. Ergas
↑ 83'
D
45
R. McCausland
M
70
E. Semedo
↑ 77'
M
80
A. Kakoullis
↑ 77'
F
88
C. Fi Akamba
↑ 58'
M
Apollon Limassol 4-4-2
Starting XI
22
P. Kuhn
🟨 15'
G
26
A. Shikkis
D
4
Z. Adoni
↓ 46'
D
44
J. Kvida
D
14
G. Malekkidis
D
50
L. Markovic
M
12
G. Assuncao
↓ 75' 🟨 47'
M
8
J. Zmrhal
M
23
B. Thomas
↓ 67'
M
43
P. Marques
↓ 46'
F
30
D. Escriche
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
41
P. Leeuwenburgh
G
76
B. Gaspar
D
82
C. Papadopoulos
5
M. Brown
M
91
I. Polyviou
M
27
G. Weissbeck
↑ 67'
M
86
P. Charalambous
↑ 67'
M
45
A. Vrikkis
↑ 46'
M
80
A. Youssef
↑ 46'
M
17
C. Duodu
↑ 75'
F
89
R. Rotis
F
10
G. Rodrigues
M
Last matches: Aris
22.05.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
3
4
L
16.05.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
0
2
L
06.05.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
0
2
L
14.04.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
1
D
05.04.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
15.03.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
2
2
D
20.02.26
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Aris
Akritas
1
1
D
09.02.26
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
0
1
L
01.02.26
1.
Aris
AEL
1
2
L
25.01.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
3
5
L
17.01.26
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
10.01.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Aris
Olympiakos
0
0
D
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
22.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
5
L
16.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
06.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
03.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
3
L
14.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
W
05.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
1
W
02.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
21.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
14.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
3
1
W
30.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
24.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Akritas
4
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
11.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Enosis
1
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
H2H: Aris vs Apollon Limassol
16.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
0
W
14.12.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
2
W
23.08.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
2
3
W
13.04.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
1
W
07.01.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
1
1
D
21.09.24
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
14.01.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
0
W
02.04.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
W
23.01.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
W
17.10.22
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
3
W
15.05.22
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
1
4
L
Last matches: Aris
22.05.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
3
4
L
06.05.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
14.04.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
1
D
21.03.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
15.03.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
01.03.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
2
2
D
09.02.26
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
0
1
L
25.01.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
3
5
L
10.01.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
20.12.25
1.
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
2
2
D
29.11.25
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
08.11.25
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
3
0
W
31.10.25
1.
Aris
Akritas
3
1
W
19.10.25
1.
Aris
AEL
4
0
W
26.09.25
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
15.09.25
1.
Aris
Olympiakos
2
0
W
23.08.25
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Aris
AEK Athens FC
2
2
D
24.07.25
UEF
Aris
Puskas Academy
3
2
W
H2H at home: Aris
18.04.26
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
0
W
23.08.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
W
13.04.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
30.09.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
0
W
23.01.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
W
15.05.22
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
1
4
L
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
22.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
5
L
06.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
14.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
W
22.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
1
1
D
02.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
30.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
11.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Enosis
1
0
W
21.12.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Krasava Ypsonas
1
0
W
30.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
2
D
08.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
25.10.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
2
2
D
04.10.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Akritas
2
0
W
28.09.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
L
13.09.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
0
W
23.08.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
1
3
L
H2H away: Apollon Limassol
18.04.26
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
0
L
23.08.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
30.09.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
0
L
23.01.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
L
15.05.22
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
1
4
W

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6
Aris Home
26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)