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Ludogorets
FT
1 - 0
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
Match Timeline
Septemvri Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Vinicius Nogueira
Ludogorets
🟨
30'
E. Ribeiro
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
46'
F. Herard ↔ V. Dobrev
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
46'
Ivanov Vladimir ↔ N. Radev
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
46'
P. Ferreira ↔ G. Ivanov
Septemvri Sofia
⚽
61'
E. Rodriguez
Ludogorets
🔄
75'
Vinicius Nogueira ↔ N. Yanev
Ludogorets
🔄
75'
S. Ivanov ↔ A. Marinov
Ludogorets
🔄
76'
B. Penchev ↔ P. Gospodinov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
76'
E. Ribeiro ↔ S. Stoichkov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
76'
M. Hristov ↔ V. Mihaylov
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
77'
G. Ivanov
Septemvri Sofia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ludogorets Win 63.3%
Draw 4.5%
Septemvri Sofia Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ludogorets2.71
Septemvri Sofia1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WLDWL
12 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
3.4
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ludogorets Ludogorets 5 matches
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 9 matches
Ludogorets Statistic Septemvri Sofia
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 5
17 Goals For 12
12 Goals Against 15
3.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 10 times, Septemvri Sofia won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:3 from Ludogorets's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Ludogorets 4-2-3-1 / Septemvri Sofia 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Ludogorets wins 10, draws 1, Septemvri Sofia wins 0

Lineups

Ludogorets
Formation
Septemvri Sofia
S. Padt
S. Padt
Vinicius Nogueira
↓
Vinicius Nogueira
G. Terziev
G. Terziev
O. Verdon
O. Verdon
J. Andersson
J. Andersson
G. Penev
G. Penev
E. Syrov
E. Syrov
E. Rodriguez
⚽
E. Rodriguez
Rwan Cruz
Rwan Cruz
S. Ivanov
↓
S. Ivanov
I. Yordanov
I. Yordanov
Ivanov Vladimir
↓
Ivanov Vladimir
K. Onasci
K. Onasci
M. Hristov
↓
M. Hristov
B. Penchev
↓
B. Penchev
S. Wade
S. Wade
Y. Baurenski
Y. Baurenski
P. Ferreira
↓
P. Ferreira
Z. A. Atanasov
Z. A. Atanasov
P. Georgiev
P. Georgiev
E. Ribeiro
↓
E. Ribeiro
F. Herard
↓
F. Herard
Ludogorets 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Padt
27
Vinicius Nogueira
↓ 75' 🟨 30'
5
G. Terziev
24
O. Verdon
2
J. Andersson
81
G. Penev
75
E. Syrov
25
E. Rodriguez
⚽ 61'
12
Rwan Cruz
99
S. Ivanov
↓ 75'
82
I. Yordanov
Substitutes
65
V. Valentinov
98
N. Yanev
↑ 75'
59
A. Lukanov
9
K. Duah
26
F. Kaloc
40
A. Marinov
↑ 75'
Septemvri Sofia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Ivanov Vladimir
↓ 46'
13
K. Onasci
4
M. Hristov
↓ 76'
8
B. Penchev
↓ 76'
2
S. Wade
5
Y. Baurenski
6
P. Ferreira
↓ 46'
24
Z. A. Atanasov
22
P. Georgiev
7
E. Ribeiro
↓ 76' 🟨 30'
29
F. Herard
↓ 46'
Substitutes
1
N. Radev
↑ 46'
20
B. Tomovski
26
V. Ozornwafor
15
P. Gospodinov
↑ 76'
23
B. Stoichkov
19
V. Dotsev
16
V. Mihaylov
↑ 76'
27
G. Ivanov
↑ 46' 🟨 77'
11
A. Dzhamov
25
N. Genchev
14
A. Vutov
N. Fontaine
30
V. Dobrev
↑ 46'
28
S. Stoichkov
↑ 76'
18
A. Liberal
Last matches: Ludogorets
30.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2
2
D
27.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Dunav Ruse
2
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Teuta Durrës
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
FC Botosani
2
2
D
26.06.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7
4
W
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
26.07.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Hebar 1918
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Vihren
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
18.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
01.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
H2H: Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
10.07.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
15.12.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
W
23.11.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
2
W
19.07.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
5
0
W
03.03.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
20.10.24
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
2
W
30.10.22
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
3
1
W
08.07.22
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
W
04.12.19
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
W
16.03.19
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
6
0
W
28.10.18
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
1
4
W
Last matches: Ludogorets
30.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Teuta Durrës
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
FC Botosani
2
2
D
26.06.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7
4
W
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
02.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
2
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Nice
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Ludogorets
PAOK
3
3
D
08.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ludogorets
10.07.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
19.07.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
5
0
W
03.03.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
30.10.22
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
3
1
W
16.03.19
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
6
0
W
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
26.07.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
18.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Wisla Krakow
1
0
W
07.12.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
0
0
D
30.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
7
L
07.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
1
W
25.10.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
20.10.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
23.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
0
2
L
01.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
H2H away: Septemvri Sofia
10.07.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
L
19.07.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
5
0
L
03.03.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
30.10.22
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
3
1
L
16.03.19
H2H
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
6
0
L