09.08.2026 23:15
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Referee: Pablo Dovalo
Argentinos JRS
Match Timeline
Racing Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
T. Molina
Argentinos JRS
VAR
20'
Adrián Martínez
Racing Club
🟥
21'
Adrián Martínez
Racing Club
28'
E. Cannavo · Assist: A. Tello
Racing Club
🟨
45'
Ezequiel Cannavo
Racing Club
🔄
46'
G. Veron ↔ F. Jainikoski
Argentinos JRS
🟨
47'
Francisco Álvarez
Argentinos JRS
🔄
59'
M. Miljevic ↔ S. Solari
Racing Club
🔄
59'
M. Di Cesare ↔ N. Colombo
Racing Club
🟨
68'
Sebastián Prieto
Argentinos JRS
🔄
71'
N. Oroz ↔ D. Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
72'
K. Coronel ↔ M. Gimenez
Argentinos JRS
77'
H. Lopez
Argentinos JRS
🟨
80'
Diego Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🟨
80'
Marcos Rojo
Racing Club
🟨
82'
Matías Kranevitter
Racing Club
🔄
82'
T. Molina ↔ G. Florentin
Argentinos JRS
🔄
82'
L. Diaz ↔ T. Conechny
Racing Club
🔄
82'
M. Kranevitter ↔ S. Aguirre
Racing Club
🔄
87'
H. Lopez ↔ T. Gomez
Argentinos JRS
🟨
90+9'
Brayan Cortés
Argentinos JRS
🟨
90+6'
Alan Lescano
Argentinos JRS
🔄
90+3'
A. Tello ↔ E. Torres
Racing Club

Argentinos JRS vs Racing Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Argentinos JRS Win 71.6%
Draw 4.5%
Racing Club Win 23.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentinos JRS1.1
Racing Club0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WWDLW
30 GF / 18 GA
Racing Club Racing Club
WLDWL
27 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
10
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
10
5.04
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 25 matches
Racing Club Racing Club 23 matches
Argentinos JRS Statistic Racing Club
14 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
4 Losses 7
30 Goals For 27
18 Goals Against 22
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
10 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 6
5.04 Shots On Goal 3.48
13.63 Total Shots 11.81
5.29 Corners 4.19
62.7% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Argentinos JRS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Racing Club. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Argentinos JRS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 29 points after 16 matches. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:13, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Tomás Molina (3 goals), Alan Lescano (3 goals), Francisco Álvarez (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Molina (2 assists), Sebastián Prieto (2 assists), Hernán López Muñoz (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Racing Club Analysis

Racing Club sit 8 with 21 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matías Zaracho (3 goals), Santiago Sosa (1 goals), Matko Miljevic (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Solari (2 assists), Santiago Sosa (1 assists), Matko Miljevic (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Argentinos JRS won 6 times, Racing Club won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Argentinos JRS's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Argentinos JRS 4-3-1-2 / Racing Club 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Argentinos JRS wins 6, draws 1, Racing Club wins 7

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase