BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Araguaína
Match Timeline
Porto Velho
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Walfrido
Porto Velho
90'
Ze Elias
Araguaína

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Araguaína Win 56.3%
Draw 23.7%
Porto Velho Win 20%
Expected Goals (xG)
Araguaína1.97
Porto Velho1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Araguaína Araguaína
WWDLW
19 GF / 5 GA
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WLDWL
13 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
1.86
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Araguaína Araguaína 7 matches
Porto Velho Porto Velho 7 matches
Araguaína Statistic Porto Velho
4 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
19 Goals For 13
5 Goals Against 6
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Porto Velho. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Porto Velho having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Araguaína Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 14 points from 7 games, Araguaína bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 19:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Alan Calbergue (4 goals), G. Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues (4 goals), Ailton (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Porto Velho Analysis

Placed 3 with 11 points from 7 outings, Porto Velho continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ruan Costa (4 goals), Yan Philippe (3 goals), Franca (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Araguaína won 1 times, Porto Velho won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Araguaína's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80%)
H2H summary: Araguaína wins 1, draws 1, Porto Velho wins 0
Last matches: Araguaína
28.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
9
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
7
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
6
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
2
1
W
Last matches: Porto Velho
12.07.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Gama
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Gama
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
H2H: Araguaína vs Porto Velho
24.05.26
H2H
Araguaína
Porto Velho
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
W
Last matches: Araguaína
21.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
9
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
6
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
1
1
D
H2H at home: Araguaína
24.05.26
H2H
Araguaína
Porto Velho
1
1
D
Last matches: Porto Velho
12.07.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Gama
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
1
1
D
03.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
0
2
L
20.04.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
3
4
L
H2H away: Porto Velho
24.05.26
H2H
Araguaína
Porto Velho
1
1
D

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)