Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Flamengo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.25
Flamengo1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia
WWDLW
33 GF / 28 GA
Flamengo
WLDWL
52 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
14
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
16
5
Shots on Goal
5.82
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
22 matches
Flamengo
26 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 17 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 33 | Goals For | 52 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 5.82 |
| 13.75 | Total Shots | 15.64 |
| 5.95 | Corners | 4.64 |
| 56.2% | Ball Possession | 55.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 2 times, Flamengo won 13 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:33 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Flamengo -
H2H summary: Bahia wins 2, draws 0, Flamengo wins 13
Last matches: Bahia
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
Last matches: Flamengo
17.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Olimpia
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
H2H: Bahia vs Flamengo
19.04.26
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
1
0
W
11.05.25
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
13.09.24
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
1
0
L
29.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
1
L
20.06.24
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
2
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
1
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
2
3
L
11.11.21
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
3
0
L
18.07.21
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
5
L
20.12.20
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
4
3
L
02.09.20
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
5
L
10.11.19
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
3
1
L
04.08.19
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bahia
05.10.25
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
1
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
29.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
2
3
L
18.07.21
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
5
L
02.09.20
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
5
L
04.08.19
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
0
W
Last matches: Flamengo
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
1
W
29.01.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
H2H away: Flamengo
05.10.25
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
W
29.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
1
W
13.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
2
3
W
18.07.21
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
5
W
02.09.20
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
5
W
04.08.19
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Away
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B