Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Flamengo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.18
Flamengo1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia
WWDLW
38 GF / 33 GA
Flamengo
WLDWL
66 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
2.06
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
17
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
18
4.32
Shots on Goal
5.86
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
27 matches
Flamengo
32 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 20 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 38 | Goals For | 66 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.32 | Shots On Goal | 5.86 |
| 13.12 | Total Shots | 15.54 |
| 5.44 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 2 times, Flamengo won 13 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:33 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bahia 3-1-4-2 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 2, draws 0, Flamengo wins 13
Last matches: Bahia
16.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
09.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
Last matches: Flamengo
16.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Mirassol
5
1
W
13.08.26
CON
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
0
W
29.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Internacional
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Olimpia
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
H2H: Bahia vs Flamengo
19.04.26
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
1
0
W
11.05.25
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
13.09.24
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
1
0
L
29.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
1
L
20.06.24
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
2
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
1
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
2
3
L
11.11.21
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
3
0
L
18.07.21
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
5
L
20.12.20
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
4
3
L
02.09.20
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
5
L
10.11.19
H2H
Flamengo
Bahia
3
1
L
04.08.19
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
09.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bahia
05.10.25
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
1
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
29.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
2
3
L
18.07.21
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
5
L
02.09.20
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
5
L
04.08.19
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
0
W
Last matches: Flamengo
16.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Mirassol
5
1
W
13.08.26
CON
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Internacional
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
1
W
29.01.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
H2H away: Flamengo
05.10.25
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
W
29.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
1
W
13.05.23
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
2
3
W
18.07.21
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
0
5
W
02.09.20
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
5
W
04.08.19
H2H
Bahia
Flamengo
3
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Away
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B